Man City – Coventry odds
Man City went into the match as heavy favourites against Coventry.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Man City – Coventry: closing odds analysis
- Man City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 79% chance of a home win, 8% for Coventry and 14% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Man City 1.22 at bwin, the draw 7.40 at Stake, Coventry 13.00 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Coventry drifted from 11.00 at the opening to 13.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 47% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Man City or Coventry?
Man City, by a distance: the closing odds put 70.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Man City – Coventry?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Man City, Stake on the draw and Stake on Coventry. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.9%) and VBET the least (92.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | MAN CITY | DRAW | COVENTRY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.22 best price | 7.40 best price | 13.00 best price | 96.9% |
| bwin | 1.22 best price | 7.00 | 11.50 | 95.3% |
| VBET | 1.18 | 6.60 | 12.00 | 92.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.22 | 7.40 | 13.00 | 96.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.18–1.22 · 3.4% | 6.60–7.40 · 12.1% | 11.50–13.00 · 13.0% | 92.4–96.9% |
How did the Man City – Coventry odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Coventry drifted from 11.00 when odds opened on 29 Aug to 13.00 at kick-off, a 18.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MAN CITY | DRAW | COVENTRY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 29 Aug (open) | 1.24 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| Wed 2 Sep | 1.20 | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| Sat 5 Sep (kick-off) | 1.22 | 7.40 | 13.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 47.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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