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PREMIER LEAGUE · SAT 5 SEP · 18:30

Hull – Aston Villa odds

Aston Villa went into the match as heavy favourites against Hull.

73 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
Hull 24%Draw 26%Aston Villa 50%
CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT
97.0%
vs 95.2% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
Hull4.00
Draw3.70
Aston Villa1.96

Double Chance

3 outcomes
Hull / Draw1.90
Hull / Aston Villa1.31
Draw / Aston Villa1.27

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.20
Under 0.54.75

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.70
Under 1.52.00

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.53.40
Under 2.51.28

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.51.78
Under 3.51.90

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.52.70
Under 4.51.40

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.52.10
Under 5.51.65

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.52.87
Under 6.51.36

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.51.35
Under 7.52.95

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.61
Under 8.52.15

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.52.05
Under 9.51.68

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.52.70
Under 10.51.41

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.53.75
Under 11.51.23

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 12.55.50
Under 12.51.13

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.77
No2.08

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
Hull (-1)8.25
Draw—
Aston Villa (+1)1.24

Handicap +1

3 outcomes
Hull (+1)1.85
Draw3.60
Aston Villa (-1)3.25

Handicap +2

3 outcomes
Hull (+2)1.29
Draw5.50
Aston Villa (-2)6.50

Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.05
Under 0.759.00

Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.06
Under 18.60

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.16
Under 1.255.00

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.26
Under 1.53.80

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.751.31
Under 1.753.35

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.39
Under 22.95

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.60
Under 2.252.30

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.81
Under 2.51.97

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.752.02
Under 2.751.77

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 32.37
Under 31.57

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes
Over 3.252.65
Under 3.251.46

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes
Over 3.52.95
Under 3.51.38

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes
Over 3.753.60
Under 3.751.28

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes
Over 44.80
Under 41.18

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes
Over 4.255.20
Under 4.251.16

Hull Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.43
Under 0.52.75

Hull Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.00
Under 1.51.37

Hull Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.58.80
Under 2.51.08

Aston Villa Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.19
Under 0.54.70

Aston Villa Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.89
Under 1.51.88

Aston Villa Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.53.75
Under 2.51.26

Correct Score

55 outcomes
0-013.00
0-18.20
0-210.00
0-316.00
0-436.00
1-013.00
1-17.00
1-28.25
1-315.00
1-435.00
2-021.00
2-113.00
2-213.50
2-326.00
2-461.00
3-060.00
3-135.00
3-241.00
3-360.00
3-4151.00
4-0201.00
4-1126.00
4-2151.00
4-3251.00
4-4501.00
Any other score22.00
0-591.00
1-586.00
2-5151.00
3-5276.00
4-5251.00
5-0251.00
5-1301.00
5-2351.00
5-3251.00
5-4251.00
5-5301.00
6-0226.00
6-1176.00
7-1301.00
6-2226.00
6-3276.00
0-6101.00
1-691.00
2-6126.00
3-6176.00
0-7176.00
1-7176.00
2-7251.00
3-7301.00
0-8276.00
1-8226.00
2-8276.00
1-9301.00
4-6301.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Hull4.40
Draw2.31
Aston Villa2.49

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Hull / Draw1.54
Hull / Aston Villa1.59
Draw / Aston Villa1.23

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes4.30
No1.21

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.36
Under 0.53.10

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.49
Under 0.752.55

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.74
Under 12.06

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.252.19
Under 1.251.66

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.60
Under 1.51.48

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.753.30
Under 1.751.32

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 25.00
Under 21.16

1st Half — Hull Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.43
Under 0.51.54

1st Half — Hull Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.58.40
Under 1.51.06

1st Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.79
Under 0.51.99

1st Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.54.80
Under 1.51.17

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-03.10
0-13.95
0-29.00
1-06.00
1-17.20
1-218.00
2-022.00
2-128.00
2-270.00
Any other score13.00
0-329.00
1-356.00
2-3201.00
3-0101.00
3-1126.00
3-2226.00
3-3251.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Hull3.90
Draw2.70
Aston Villa2.31

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Hull / Draw1.65
Hull / Aston Villa1.50
Draw / Aston Villa1.29

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.30
No1.32

2nd Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.30
Under 0.753.40

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.40
Under 12.85

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.73
Under 1.252.08

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.05
Under 1.51.75

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.45
Under 1.751.53

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 23.30
Under 21.32

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.253.85
Under 2.251.25

2nd Half — Hull Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.05
Under 0.51.75

2nd Half — Hull Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.56.20
Under 1.51.11

2nd Half — Hull Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.515.00
Under 2.51.01

2nd Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.59
Under 0.52.32

2nd Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.70
Under 1.51.26

2nd Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.59.60
Under 2.51.05

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-04.40
0-14.00
0-28.00
1-05.80
1-16.40
1-214.00
2-017.00
2-120.00
2-245.00
Any other score8.20
0-321.00
1-331.00
2-386.00
3-061.00
3-161.00
3-2126.00
3-3251.00

Hull – Aston Villa: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, · 3 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF
  • Aston Villa were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of an away win, 24% for Hull and 26% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: Hull 4.00 at Stake, the draw 3.70 at Stake, Aston Villa 1.96 at Stake.
  • Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.0%.
  • Odds movement: the best price on Aston Villa drifted from 1.90 at the opening to 1.96 at kick-off.
  • The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Hull or Aston Villa?

Aston Villa, by a distance: the closing odds put 25.5 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hull – Aston Villa?

Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.0%) and bwin the least (93.6%).

Hull – Aston Villa: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERHULLDRAWASTON VILLAPAYOUT
Stake4.00 best price3.70 best price1.96 best price97.0%
VBET4.00 best price3.591.9195.0%
bwin3.903.501.9093.6%
BEST PRICE4.003.701.9697.0%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH3.90–4.00 · 2.6%3.50–3.70 · 5.7%1.90–1.96 · 3.2%93.6–97.0%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.
The draw had the widest spread: 3.50 to 3.70 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 5.7%.

How did the Hull – Aston Villa odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Aston Villa drifted from 1.90 when odds opened on 29 Aug to 1.96 at kick-off, a 3.2% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
2.003.004.0029 Aug2 Sep5 Sep4.003.701.96
DATA
BEST PRICE ATHULLDRAWASTON VILLA
Sat 29 Aug (open)4.003.651.90
Wed 2 Sep4.103.701.89
Sat 5 Sep (kick-off)4.003.701.96

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 54.3%.

  • Both teams score54%
What the odds imply for each goal line in Hull – Aston Villa.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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