Borussia Mönchengladbach – SV Elversberg odds
Borussia Mönchengladbach went into the match as clear favourites against SV Elversberg.
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2nd Half
Borussia Mönchengladbach – SV Elversberg: closing odds analysis
- Borussia Mönchengladbach were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of a home win, 27% for SV Elversberg and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.98 at Stake, the draw 4.00 at bwin, SV Elversberg 3.60 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on SV Elversberg shortened from 5.20 at the opening to 3.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 65% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Borussia Mönchengladbach or SV Elversberg?
Borussia Mönchengladbach, clearly: the closing odds put 22.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Borussia Mönchengladbach – SV Elversberg?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Borussia Mönchengladbach, bwin on the draw and bwin on SV Elversberg. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.8%) and VBET the least (92.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH | DRAW | SV ELVERSBERG | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.98 best price | 4.00 best price | 3.60 best price | 96.8% |
| bwin | 1.87 | 4.00 best price | 3.60 best price | 94.1% |
| VBET | 1.91 | 3.72 | 3.47 | 92.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.98 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 96.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.87–1.98 · 5.9% | 3.72–4.00 · 7.5% | 3.47–3.60 · 3.7% | 92.5–96.8% |
How did the Borussia Mönchengladbach – SV Elversberg odds move before kick-off?
The best price on SV Elversberg shortened from 5.20 when odds opened on 25 Aug to 3.60 at kick-off, a 30.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH | DRAW | SV ELVERSBERG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 25 Aug (open) | 1.61 | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| Sun 30 Aug | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| Sat 5 Sep (kick-off) | 1.98 | 4.00 | 3.60 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 65.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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