Athletic Club – Atlético Madrid odds
Athletic Club and Atlético Madrid went into the match almost level in the odds.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Athletic Club – Atlético Madrid: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 35% for Athletic Club, 29% for a draw and 36% for Atlético Madrid.
- Best closing odds: Athletic Club 2.75 at Stake, the draw 3.40 at Stake, Atlético Madrid 2.70 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Atlético Madrid drifted from 2.48 at the opening to 2.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Athletic Club or Atlético Madrid?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 0.9 percentage points between Athletic Club and Atlético Madrid.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Athletic Club – Atlético Madrid?
Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.3%) and bwin the least (94.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | ATHLETIC CLUB | DRAW | ATLÉTICO MADRID | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.75 best price | 3.40 best price | 2.70 best price | 97.3% |
| VBET | 2.71 | 3.28 | 2.66 | 95.3% |
| bwin | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 94.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 97.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.70–2.75 · 1.9% | 3.28–3.40 · 3.7% | 2.60–2.70 · 3.8% | 94.5–97.3% |
How did the Athletic Club – Atlético Madrid odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Atlético Madrid drifted from 2.48 when odds opened on 30 Aug to 2.70 at kick-off, a 8.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ATHLETIC CLUB | DRAW | ATLÉTICO MADRID |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 30 Aug (open) | 2.80 | 3.45 | 2.48 |
| Wed 2 Sep | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.40 |
| Sat 5 Sep (kick-off) | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 55.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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