Osasuna – Getafe odds
Osasuna went into the match as clear favourites against Getafe.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Osasuna – Getafe: closing odds analysis
- Osasuna were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of a home win, 23% for Getafe and 33% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Osasuna 2.19 at Stake, the draw 2.95 at Stake, Getafe 4.33 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Getafe drifted from 3.63 at the opening to 4.33 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 38% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Osasuna or Getafe?
Osasuna, clearly: the closing odds put 21.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Osasuna – Getafe?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Osasuna, Stake on the draw and VBET on Getafe. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.3%) and bwin the least (93.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | OSASUNA | DRAW | GETAFE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.19 best price | 2.95 best price | 4.30 | 97.3% |
| VBET | 2.14 | 2.85 | 4.33 best price | 95.3% |
| bwin | 2.15 | 2.85 | 4.00 | 93.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.19 | 2.95 | 4.33 | 97.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.14–2.19 · 2.3% | 2.85–2.95 · 3.5% | 4.00–4.33 · 8.3% | 93.8–97.3% |
How did the Osasuna – Getafe odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Getafe drifted from 3.63 when odds opened on 24 Aug to 4.33 at kick-off, a 19.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | OSASUNA | DRAW | GETAFE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 24 Aug (open) | 2.19 | 3.20 | 3.63 |
| Fri 28 Aug | 2.24 | 3.00 | 3.70 |
| Mon 31 Aug (kick-off) | 2.19 | 2.95 | 4.33 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 38.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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