PREMIER LEAGUE · MON 31 AUG · 21:00

Aston Villa – Arsenal odds

Arsenal went into the match as heavy favourites against Aston Villa.

79 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers

FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.

WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED

Aston Villa 14%Draw 21%Arsenal 65%

CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT

96.6%

vs 94.8% average

KICK-OFF

21:00

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes

Aston Villa	6.80
Draw	4.60
Arsenal	1.49

Double Chance

3 outcomes

Aston Villa / Draw	2.75
Aston Villa / Arsenal	1.23
Draw / Arsenal	1.13

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.12
Under 0.5	6.75

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.55
Under 1.5	2.25

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	2.80
Under 2.5	1.38

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	1.65
Under 3.5	2.10

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 4.5	2.45
Under 4.5	1.49

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 5.5	1.98
Under 5.5	1.72

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 6.5	2.70
Under 6.5	1.40

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 7.5	1.29
Under 7.5	3.25

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 8.5	1.53
Under 8.5	2.30

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 9.5	1.90
Under 9.5	1.80

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 10.5	2.45
Under 10.5	1.47

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 11.5	3.40
Under 11.5	1.28

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 12.5	4.80
Under 12.5	1.16

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	1.95
No	1.88

Handicap -1

3 outcomes

Aston Villa (-1)	12.50
Draw	—
Arsenal (+1)	1.14

Handicap +1

3 outcomes

Aston Villa (+1)	2.55
Draw	—
Arsenal (-1)	2.25

Handicap +2

3 outcomes

Aston Villa (+2)	1.57
Draw	—
Arsenal (-2)	4.00

Handicap +3

3 outcomes

Aston Villa (+3)	1.21
Draw	—
Arsenal (-3)	8.00

Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.05
Under 0.75	9.40

Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.05
Under 1	9.40

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.14
Under 1.25	5.40

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.23
Under 1.5	4.00

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	1.28
Under 1.75	3.60

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	1.34
Under 2	3.15

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	1.55
Under 2.25	2.45

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	1.75
Under 2.5	2.05

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes

Over 2.75	1.90
Under 2.75	1.85

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes

Over 3	2.25
Under 3	1.65

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes

Over 3.25	2.55
Under 3.25	1.50

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	2.80
Under 3.5	1.43

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes

Over 3.75	3.35
Under 3.75	1.31

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes

Over 4	4.40
Under 4	1.20

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes

Over 4.25	4.70
Under 4.25	1.18

Asian Total 4.5

2 outcomes

Over 4.5	5.00
Under 4.5	1.16

Aston Villa Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.70
Under 0.5	2.05

Aston Villa Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	4.45
Under 1.5	1.20

Aston Villa Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	13.00
Under 2.5	1.04

Arsenal Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.12
Under 0.5	6.60

Arsenal Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.55
Under 1.5	2.40

Arsenal Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	2.65
Under 2.5	1.45

Arsenal Over/Under 3.5

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	5.25
Under 3.5	1.15

Correct Score

57 outcomes

0-0	13.50
0-1	7.00
0-2	7.25
0-3	10.00
0-4	19.00
1-0	17.00
1-1	8.00
1-2	8.25
1-3	12.00
1-4	23.00
2-0	41.00
2-1	21.00
2-2	19.00
2-3	28.00
2-4	54.00
3-0	126.00
3-1	74.00
3-2	72.00
3-3	100.00
3-4	151.00
4-0	351.00
4-1	276.00
4-2	251.00
4-3	301.00
4-4	301.00
Any other score	12.75
0-5	41.00
1-5	46.00
2-5	101.00
3-5	351.00
4-5	251.00
5-0	251.00
5-1	251.00
5-2	251.00
5-3	251.00
5-4	251.00
5-5	251.00
6-0	301.00
6-1	251.00
6-2	301.00
6-3	301.00
0-6	56.00
1-6	61.00
2-6	101.00
3-6	151.00
0-7	101.00
1-7	126.00
2-7	176.00
3-7	301.00
0-8	201.00
1-8	176.00
2-8	301.00
0-9	226.00
1-9	276.00
2-9	301.00
4-6	301.00
0-10	301.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes

Aston Villa	6.50
Draw	2.53
Arsenal	1.90

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes

Aston Villa / Draw	1.87
Aston Villa / Arsenal	1.51
Draw / Arsenal	1.14

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	4.65
No	1.18

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.30
Under 0.5	3.15

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.43
Under 0.75	2.75

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.64
Under 1	2.21

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	2.07
Under 1.25	1.74

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.50
Under 1.5	1.50

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	3.10
Under 1.75	1.36

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	4.60
Under 2	1.19

1st Half — Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	5.75
Under 2.5	1.12

1st Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	2.90
Under 0.5	1.35

1st Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	10.00
Under 1.5	1.04

1st Half — Arsenal Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.55
Under 0.5	2.30

1st Half — Arsenal Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	3.75
Under 1.5	1.26

1st Half — Arsenal Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	9.80
Under 2.5	1.05

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes

0-0	3.25
0-1	3.26
0-2	6.25
1-0	7.75
1-1	8.00
1-2	17.00
2-0	42.00
2-1	44.00
2-2	94.00
Any other score	10.00
0-3	17.00
1-3	41.00
2-3	176.00
3-0	226.00
3-1	226.00
3-2	301.00
3-3	251.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes

Aston Villa	6.00
Draw	2.90
Arsenal	1.81

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes

Aston Villa / Draw	1.96
Aston Villa / Arsenal	1.44
Draw / Arsenal	1.18

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	3.75
No	1.25

2nd Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.30
Under 0.75	3.45

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.38
Under 1	3.00

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.69
Under 1.25	2.13

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.00
Under 1.5	1.80

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	2.37
Under 1.75	1.57

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	3.15
Under 2	1.34

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	3.65
Under 2.25	1.27

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	4.15
Under 2.5	1.22

2nd Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	2.45
Under 0.5	1.53

2nd Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	8.40
Under 1.5	1.06

2nd Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	16.00
Under 2.5	1.01

2nd Half — Arsenal Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.45
Under 0.5	2.70

2nd Half — Arsenal Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	3.00
Under 1.5	1.38

2nd Half — Arsenal Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	7.40
Under 2.5	1.08

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes

0-0	4.50
0-1	3.57
0-2	6.00
1-0	7.40
1-1	7.20
1-2	13.00
2-0	29.00
2-1	29.00
2-2	60.00
Any other score	6.60
0-3	13.00
1-3	26.00
2-3	96.00
3-0	126.00
3-1	126.00
3-2	201.00
3-3	401.00

Aston Villa – Arsenal: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, 31 Aug 2026, 21:00 · 3 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF

Arsenal were favourites: the closing odds implied a 65% chance of an away win, 14% for Aston Villa and 21% for a draw.
Best closing odds: Aston Villa 6.80 at VBET, the draw 4.60 at VBET, Arsenal 1.49 at bwin.
VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
Odds movement: the best price on Aston Villa drifted from 4.60 at the opening to 6.80 at kick-off.
The closing odds implied a 49% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Aston Villa or Arsenal?

Arsenal, by a distance: the closing odds put 50.3 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Aston Villa – Arsenal?

It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Aston Villa, VBET on the draw and bwin on Arsenal. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and Stake the least (94.0%).

Aston Villa – Arsenal: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKER	ASTON VILLA	DRAW	ARSENAL	PAYOUT
VBET	6.80 best price	4.60 best price	1.46	95.3%
bwin	6.50	4.40	1.49 best price	95.0%
Stake	6.50	4.55	1.45	94.0%
BEST PRICE	6.80	4.60	1.49	96.6%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH	6.50–6.80 · 4.6%	4.40–4.60 · 4.5%	1.45–1.49 · 2.8%	94.0–95.3%

Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.

Aston Villa had the widest spread: 6.50 to 6.80 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 4.6%.

How did the Aston Villa – Arsenal odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Aston Villa drifted from 4.60 when odds opened on 23 Aug to 6.80 at kick-off, a 47.8% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY

DATA

BEST PRICE AT	ASTON VILLA	DRAW	ARSENAL
Sun 23 Aug (open)	4.60	3.75	1.80
Thu 27 Aug	6.00	4.20	1.55
Mon 31 Aug (kick-off)	6.80	4.60	1.52

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 49.1%.

Both teams score49%

What the odds imply for each goal line in Aston Villa – Arsenal.

How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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