LA LIGA · SUN 30 AUG · 17:00

Real Madrid – Málaga odds

Real Madrid went into the match as heavy favourites against Málaga.

79 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers

FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.

WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED

Real Madrid 87%Draw 9%Málaga 4%

CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT

98.4%

vs 95.3% average

KICK-OFF

17:00

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes

Real Madrid	1.12
Draw	12.00
Málaga	25.00

Double Chance

3 outcomes

Real Madrid / Draw	1.02
Real Madrid / Málaga	1.07
Draw / Málaga	7.60

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.32
Under 0.5	3.10

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.41
Under 1.5	2.65

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	2.25
Under 2.5	1.55

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	1.90
Under 3.5	1.78

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 4.5	2.90
Under 4.5	1.36

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 5.5	3.70
Under 5.5	1.29

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 6.5	1.55
Under 6.5	2.30

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 7.5	1.90
Under 7.5	1.78

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 8.5	2.45
Under 8.5	1.47

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 9.5	1.65
Under 9.5	2.10

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 10.5	2.05
Under 10.5	1.68

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 11.5	2.60
Under 11.5	1.42

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 12.5	3.50
Under 12.5	1.26

Over/Under 13.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 13.5	4.80
Under 13.5	1.16

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	2.15
No	1.78

Handicap -4

3 outcomes

Real Madrid (-4)	3.80
Draw	—
Málaga (+4)	1.47

Handicap -3

3 outcomes

Real Madrid (-3)	2.45
Draw	4.50
Málaga (+3)	2.00

Handicap -2

3 outcomes

Real Madrid (-2)	1.70
Draw	4.50
Málaga (+2)	3.25

Handicap -1

3 outcomes

Real Madrid (-1)	1.37
Draw	4.75
Málaga (+1)	5.75

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	1.10
Under 1.75	6.60

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	1.09
Under 2	7.20

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	1.15
Under 2.25	5.40

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	1.22
Under 2.5	4.10

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes

Over 2.75	1.25
Under 2.75	3.80

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes

Over 3	1.30
Under 3	3.45

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes

Over 3.25	1.44
Under 3.25	2.75

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	1.58
Under 3.5	2.35

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes

Over 3.75	1.69
Under 3.75	2.14

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes

Over 4	1.85
Under 4	1.92

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes

Over 4.25	2.06
Under 4.25	1.74

Asian Total 4.5

2 outcomes

Over 4.5	2.26
Under 4.5	1.62

Asian Total 4.75

2 outcomes

Over 4.75	2.55
Under 4.75	1.49

Asian Total 5

2 outcomes

Over 5	3.05
Under 5	1.36

Asian Total 5.25

2 outcomes

Over 5.25	3.30
Under 5.25	1.32

Asian Total 5.5

2 outcomes

Over 5.5	3.60
Under 5.5	1.28

Asian Total 5.75

2 outcomes

Over 5.75	4.30
Under 5.75	1.21

Real Madrid Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.17
Under 1.5	4.80

Real Madrid Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	1.39
Under 2.5	2.90

Real Madrid Over/Under 3.5

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	1.99
Under 3.5	1.80

Real Madrid Over/Under 4.5

2 outcomes

Over 4.5	3.20
Under 4.5	1.34

Málaga Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.96
Under 0.5	1.82

Málaga Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	5.80
Under 1.5	1.13

Correct Score

62 outcomes

0-0	50.00
0-1	70.00
0-2	201.00
0-3	1001.00
0-4	1001.00
0-5	301.00
1-0	14.00
1-1	26.00
1-2	61.00
1-3	301.00
1-4	1001.00
1-5	301.00
2-0	8.25
2-1	12.00
2-2	40.00
2-3	151.00
2-4	1001.00
2-5	301.00
3-0	7.25
3-1	11.50
3-2	30.00
3-3	151.00
3-4	751.00
3-5	301.00
4-0	8.75
4-1	13.00
4-2	35.00
4-3	151.00
4-4	1001.00
4-5	301.00
5-0	11.00
5-1	17.00
5-2	41.00
5-3	151.00
5-4	301.00
5-5	301.00
Any other score	2.85
6-0	15.50
7-0	23.00
8-0	36.00
9-0	61.00
10-0	101.00
6-1	23.00
7-1	36.00
8-1	56.00
9-1	91.00
10-1	126.00
6-2	56.00
7-2	81.00
8-2	101.00
9-2	176.00
6-3	126.00
7-3	176.00
7-4	301.00
1-6	301.00
8-3	226.00
6-4	251.00
8-4	301.00
9-3	276.00
10-2	201.00
10-3	301.00
3-6	301.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes

Real Madrid	1.34
Draw	4.10
Málaga	15.00

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes

Real Madrid / Draw	1.05
Real Madrid / Málaga	1.23
Draw / Málaga	3.25

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	4.90
No	1.21

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.19
Under 0.75	4.50

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.21
Under 1	4.30

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.44
Under 1.25	2.75

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.66
Under 1.5	2.18

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	1.87
Under 1.75	1.90

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	2.27
Under 2	1.62

1st Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	2.65
Under 2.25	1.46

1st Half — Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	3.10
Under 2.5	1.37

1st Half — Real Madrid Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.20
Under 0.5	4.50

1st Half — Real Madrid Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.95
Under 1.5	1.83

1st Half — Real Madrid Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	3.95
Under 2.5	1.24

1st Half — Málaga Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	3.55
Under 0.5	1.29

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes

0-0	6.40
0-1	18.00
0-2	126.00
0-3	301.00
1-0	3.45
1-1	14.00
1-2	71.00
1-3	301.00
2-0	3.95
2-1	14.00
2-2	111.00
2-3	301.00
3-0	6.60
3-1	23.00
3-2	151.00
3-3	301.00
Any other score	3.50

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes

Real Madrid	1.29
Draw	4.70
Málaga	14.00

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes

Real Madrid / Draw	1.06
Real Madrid / Málaga	1.20
Draw / Málaga	3.65

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	3.45
No	1.30

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.18
Under 1	4.60

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.39
Under 1.25	2.95

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.45
Under 1.5	2.70

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	1.55
Under 1.75	2.42

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	1.73
Under 2	2.08

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	2.02
Under 2.25	1.77

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	2.30
Under 2.5	1.60

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes

Over 2.75	2.70
Under 2.75	1.44

2nd Half — Asian Total 3

2 outcomes

Over 3	3.55
Under 3	1.29

2nd Half — Real Madrid Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.14
Under 0.5	5.40

2nd Half — Real Madrid Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.66
Under 1.5	2.19

2nd Half — Real Madrid Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	2.95
Under 2.5	1.38

2nd Half — Málaga Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	2.95
Under 0.5	1.38

2nd Half — Málaga Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	11.00
Under 1.5	1.03

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes

0-0	8.40
0-1	19.00
0-2	100.00
0-3	301.00
1-0	4.10
1-1	10.00
1-2	50.00
1-3	226.00
2-0	4.20
2-1	11.00
2-2	60.00
2-3	251.00
3-0	6.20
3-1	15.00
3-2	71.00
3-3	301.00
Any other score	2.60

Real Madrid – Málaga: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, 30 Aug 2026, 17:00 · 3 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF

Real Madrid were favourites: the closing odds implied a 87% chance of a home win, 4% for Málaga and 9% for a draw.
Best closing odds: Real Madrid 1.12 at bwin, the draw 12.00 at Stake, Málaga 25.00 at Stake.
Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.9%.
Odds movement: the best price on Málaga drifted from 13.00 at the opening to 25.00 at kick-off.
The closing odds implied a 46% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Real Madrid or Málaga?

Real Madrid, by a distance: the closing odds put 82.3 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Real Madrid – Málaga?

It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Real Madrid, Stake on the draw and Stake on Málaga. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.9%) and VBET the least (93.1%).

Real Madrid – Málaga: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKER	REAL MADRID	DRAW	MÁLAGA	PAYOUT
Stake	1.10	12.00 best price	25.00 best price	96.9%
bwin	1.12 best price	10.50	19.00	96.1%
VBET	1.08	9.50	23.00	93.1%
BEST PRICE	1.12	12.00	25.00	98.4%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH	1.08–1.12 · 3.7%	9.50–12.00 · 26.3%	19.00–25.00 · 31.6%	93.1–96.9%

Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.

Málaga had the widest spread: 19.00 to 25.00 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 31.6%.

How did the Real Madrid – Málaga odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Málaga drifted from 13.00 when odds opened on 24 Aug to 25.00 at kick-off, a 92.3% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY

DATA

BEST PRICE AT	REAL MADRID	DRAW	MÁLAGA
Mon 24 Aug (open)	1.20	7.80	13.00
Thu 27 Aug	1.16	8.80	18.00
Sun 30 Aug (kick-off)	1.12	12.00	25.00

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 45.8%.

Both teams score46%

What the odds imply for each goal line in Real Madrid – Málaga.

How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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