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LIGUE 1 Β· SUN 30 AUG Β· 15:00

Paris FC – Nice odds

Paris FC went into the match as clear favourites against Nice.

73 markets Β· closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off β€” they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
Paris FC 49%Draw 27%Nice 24%
CLOSING PAYOUT Β· MATCH RESULT
97.3%
vs 95.2% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
Paris FC1.99
Draw3.55
Nice4.10

Double Chance

3 outcomes
Paris FC / Draw1.27
Paris FC / Nice1.32
Draw / Nice1.87

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.49
Under 0.52.65

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.38
Under 1.52.80

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.52.30
Under 2.51.55

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.51.50
Under 3.52.40

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.52.10
Under 4.51.63

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.53.30
Under 5.51.29

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.51.11
Under 6.55.50

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.51.24
Under 7.53.60

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.44
Under 8.52.50

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.51.75
Under 9.51.90

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.52.25
Under 10.51.55

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.52.95
Under 11.51.32

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 12.54.20
Under 12.51.18

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.85
No1.95

Handicap -2

3 outcomes
Paris FC (-2)7.00
Drawβ€”
Nice (+2)1.27

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
Paris FC (-1)3.40
Drawβ€”
Nice (+1)1.82

Handicap +1

3 outcomes
Paris FC (+1)1.25
Drawβ€”
Nice (-1)8.50

Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.07
Under 0.510.00

Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.07
Under 0.758.00

Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.08
Under 17.40

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.20
Under 1.254.40

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.32
Under 1.53.30

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.751.39
Under 1.752.95

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.50
Under 22.55

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.75
Under 2.252.05

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.99
Under 2.51.80

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.752.27
Under 2.751.62

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 32.75
Under 31.44

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes
Over 3.253.10
Under 3.251.36

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes
Over 3.53.40
Under 3.51.30

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes
Over 3.754.20
Under 3.751.22

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes
Over 45.80
Under 41.13

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes
Over 4.256.20
Under 4.251.11

Paris FC Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.22
Under 0.54.20

Paris FC Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.03
Under 1.51.76

Paris FC Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.54.30
Under 2.51.22

Nice Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.50
Under 0.52.55

Nice Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.35
Under 1.51.31

Nice Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.510.00
Under 2.51.06

Correct Score

49 outcomes
0-011.00
0-111.00
0-220.00
0-360.00
0-4251.00
1-07.20
1-16.60
1-213.00
1-340.00
1-4151.00
2-09.25
2-18.40
2-215.00
2-350.00
2-4201.00
3-016.00
3-116.00
3-230.00
3-380.00
3-4351.00
4-040.00
4-140.00
4-280.00
4-3251.00
4-4751.00
Any other score29.00
0-5301.00
1-5276.00
2-5301.00
3-5301.00
4-5301.00
5-091.00
5-191.00
5-2151.00
5-3301.00
5-4301.00
5-5301.00
6-0101.00
7-0176.00
6-1101.00
7-1201.00
6-2151.00
6-3226.00
0-6201.00
1-6226.00
2-6301.00
7-2226.00
3-6276.00
8-0301.00

1st Half

1st Half β€” Match Result

3 outcomes
Paris FC2.55
Draw2.21
Nice4.60

1st Half β€” Double Chance

3 outcomes
Paris FC / Draw1.22
Paris FC / Nice1.64
Draw / Nice1.51

1st Half β€” Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes4.70
No1.18

1st Half β€” Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.42
Under 0.52.85

1st Half β€” Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.57
Under 0.752.36

1st Half β€” Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.90
Under 11.88

1st Half β€” Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.252.39
Under 1.251.56

1st Half β€” Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.85
Under 1.51.41

1st Half β€” Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.753.70
Under 1.751.27

1st Half β€” Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 25.80
Under 21.13

1st Half β€” Paris FC Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.88
Under 0.51.89

1st Half β€” Paris FC Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.55.20
Under 1.51.15

1st Half β€” Nice Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.60
Under 0.51.49

1st Half β€” Nice Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.59.00
Under 1.51.05

1st Half β€” Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-02.85
0-16.00
0-223.00
1-03.85
1-17.60
1-230.00
2-09.40
2-121.00
2-290.00
Any other score16.00
0-3111.00
1-3151.00
2-3276.00
3-034.00
3-171.00
3-2251.00
3-3301.00

2nd Half

2nd Half β€” Match Result

3 outcomes
Paris FC2.36
Draw2.60
Nice4.00

2nd Half β€” Double Chance

3 outcomes
Paris FC / Draw1.28
Paris FC / Nice1.53
Draw / Nice1.62

2nd Half β€” Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.65
No1.27

2nd Half β€” Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.35
Under 0.753.15

2nd Half β€” Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.50
Under 12.55

2nd Half β€” Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.86
Under 1.251.91

2nd Half β€” Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.22
Under 1.51.64

2nd Half β€” Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.70
Under 1.751.45

2nd Half β€” Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 23.85
Under 21.25

2nd Half β€” Paris FC Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.66
Under 0.52.19

2nd Half β€” Paris FC Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.54.10
Under 1.51.23

2nd Half β€” Paris FC Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.511.00
Under 2.51.04

2nd Half β€” Nice Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.16
Under 0.51.67

2nd Half β€” Nice Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.56.80
Under 1.51.09

2nd Half β€” Nice Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.515.00
Under 2.51.01

2nd Half β€” Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-03.95
0-15.60
0-218.00
1-03.94
1-16.60
1-223.00
2-08.30
2-115.00
2-250.00
Any other score9.60
0-371.00
1-386.00
2-3176.00
3-025.00
3-141.00
3-2126.00
3-3301.00

Paris FC – Nice: closing odds analysis

KEY FACTS Β· AT KICK-OFF
  • Paris FC were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of a home win, 24% for Nice and 27% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: Paris FC 1.99 at Stake, the draw 3.55 at Stake, Nice 4.10 at Stake.
  • Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
  • Odds movement: the best price on Nice drifted from 3.60 at the opening to 4.10 at kick-off.
  • The closing odds implied a 51% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Paris FC or Nice?

Paris FC, clearly: the closing odds put 24.7 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Paris FC – Nice?

Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.3%) and VBET the least (93.4%).

Paris FC – Nice: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERPARIS FCDRAWNICEPAYOUT
Stake1.99 best price3.55 best price4.10 best price97.3%
bwin1.953.503.9094.8%
VBET1.933.343.9593.4%
BEST PRICE1.993.554.1097.3%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH1.93–1.99 Β· 3.1%3.34–3.55 Β· 6.3%3.90–4.10 Β· 5.1%93.4–97.3%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off Β· β€” = no price from that bookmaker.
The draw had the widest spread: 3.34 to 3.55 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 6.3%.

How did the Paris FC – Nice odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Nice drifted from 3.60 when odds opened on 24 Aug to 4.10 at kick-off, a 13.9% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
2.003.004.0024 Aug27 Aug30 Aug4.103.551.99
DATA
BEST PRICE ATPARIS FCDRAWNICE
Mon 24 Aug (open)2.113.403.60
Thu 27 Aug2.113.403.65
Sun 30 Aug (kick-off)1.993.554.10

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 51.4%.

  • Both teams score51%
What the odds imply for each goal line in Paris FC – Nice.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 Γ· decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 Γ· (1/odds₁ + 1/oddsβ‚‚ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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