PREMIER LEAGUE · SUN 30 AUG · 15:00

Chelsea – Brighton odds

Chelsea went into the match as heavy favourites against Brighton.

74 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers

FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.

WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED

Chelsea 52%Draw 25%Brighton 24%

CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT

97.2%

vs 95.0% average

KICK-OFF

15:00

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes

Chelsea	1.88
Draw	3.95
Brighton	4.10

Double Chance

3 outcomes

Chelsea / Draw	1.27
Chelsea / Brighton	1.28
Draw / Brighton	2.00

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.38
Under 0.5	3.10

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.39
Under 1.5	2.75

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	2.30
Under 2.5	1.53

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	1.46
Under 3.5	2.50

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 4.5	2.00
Under 4.5	1.70

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 5.5	3.10
Under 5.5	1.33

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 6.5	2.45
Under 6.5	1.47

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 7.5	1.19
Under 7.5	4.33

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 8.5	1.35
Under 8.5	2.90

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 9.5	1.61
Under 9.5	2.15

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 10.5	1.98
Under 10.5	1.72

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 11.5	2.60
Under 11.5	1.43

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 12.5	3.60
Under 12.5	1.25

Over/Under 13.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 13.5	5.00
Under 13.5	1.15

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	1.61
No	2.32

Handicap -2

3 outcomes

Chelsea (-2)	5.75
Draw	—
Brighton (+2)	1.34

Handicap -1

3 outcomes

Chelsea (-1)	2.95
Draw	—
Brighton (+1)	1.93

Handicap +1

3 outcomes

Chelsea (+1)	1.24
Draw	—
Brighton (-1)	8.00

Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.04
Under 1	9.80

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.11
Under 1.25	6.20

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.19
Under 1.5	4.70

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	1.22
Under 1.75	4.10

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	1.27
Under 2	3.70

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	1.44
Under 2.25	2.75

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	1.61
Under 2.5	2.28

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes

Over 2.75	1.75
Under 2.75	2.05

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes

Over 3	1.97
Under 3	1.81

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes

Over 3.25	2.22
Under 3.25	1.64

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	2.47
Under 3.5	1.52

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes

Over 3.75	2.90
Under 3.75	1.40

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes

Over 4	3.70
Under 4	1.27

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes

Over 4.25	4.00
Under 4.25	1.23

Asian Total 4.5

2 outcomes

Over 4.5	4.30
Under 4.5	1.20

Asian Total 4.75

2 outcomes

Over 4.75	5.40
Under 4.75	1.15

Chelsea Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.14
Under 0.5	5.60

Chelsea Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.70
Under 1.5	2.11

Chelsea Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	3.15
Under 2.5	1.35

Brighton Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.37
Under 0.5	3.05

Brighton Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.70
Under 1.5	1.45

Brighton Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	7.20
Under 2.5	1.10

Correct Score

59 outcomes

0-0	18.00
0-1	15.00
0-2	24.00
0-3	60.00
0-4	201.00
1-0	9.80
1-1	7.60
1-2	13.00
1-3	30.00
1-4	101.00
2-0	9.80
2-1	8.20
2-2	12.00
2-3	35.00
2-4	101.00
3-0	15.00
3-1	13.00
3-2	21.00
3-3	45.00
3-4	151.00
4-0	30.00
4-1	27.00
4-2	45.00
4-3	101.00
4-4	301.00
Any other score	15.00
0-5	301.00
1-5	251.00
2-5	251.00
3-5	276.00
4-5	301.00
5-0	61.00
5-1	56.00
5-2	81.00
5-3	176.00
5-4	301.00
5-5	301.00
6-0	81.00
7-0	151.00
8-0	201.00
6-1	71.00
7-1	126.00
8-1	201.00
6-2	101.00
7-2	151.00
8-2	251.00
6-3	151.00
8-3	251.00
0-6	226.00
1-6	176.00
2-6	176.00
3-6	226.00
4-6	276.00
1-7	301.00
0-7	301.00
7-3	201.00
2-7	301.00
6-4	251.00
9-0	301.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes

Chelsea	2.36
Draw	2.46
Brighton	4.40

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes

Chelsea / Draw	1.23
Chelsea / Brighton	1.53
Draw / Brighton	1.59

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	3.83
No	1.26

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.30
Under 0.5	3.55

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.39
Under 0.75	2.90

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.57
Under 1	2.36

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.95
Under 1.25	1.82

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.33
Under 1.5	1.59

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	2.85
Under 1.75	1.41

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	4.10
Under 2	1.22

1st Half — Chelsea Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.67
Under 0.5	2.16

1st Half — Chelsea Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	4.20
Under 1.5	1.22

1st Half — Brighton Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	2.27
Under 0.5	1.61

1st Half — Brighton Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	7.40
Under 1.5	1.08

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes

0-0	3.55
0-1	6.40
0-2	21.00
1-0	4.00
1-1	6.90
1-2	24.00
2-0	8.40
2-1	15.00
2-2	60.00
Any other score	11.00
0-3	91.00
1-3	111.00
2-3	226.00
3-0	25.00
3-1	46.00
3-2	151.00
3-3	301.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes

Chelsea	2.20
Draw	2.85
Brighton	3.90

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes

Chelsea / Draw	1.29
Chelsea / Brighton	1.45
Draw / Brighton	1.70

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	2.95
No	1.39

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.30
Under 1	3.40

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.58
Under 1.25	2.35

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.85
Under 1.5	1.93

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	2.15
Under 1.75	1.68

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	2.75
Under 2	1.44

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	3.20
Under 2.25	1.34

2nd Half — Chelsea Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.50
Under 0.5	2.55

2nd Half — Chelsea Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	3.25
Under 1.5	1.33

2nd Half — Chelsea Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	8.20
Under 2.5	1.07

2nd Half — Brighton Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.92
Under 0.5	1.85

2nd Half — Brighton Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	5.60
Under 1.5	1.14

2nd Half — Brighton Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	14.00
Under 2.5	1.01

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes

0-0	5.20
0-1	6.20
0-2	17.00
1-0	4.30
1-1	6.20
1-2	18.00
2-0	7.80
2-1	12.00
2-2	35.00
Any other score	6.60
0-3	61.00
1-3	56.00
2-3	101.00
3-0	19.00
3-1	29.00
3-2	71.00
3-3	276.00

Chelsea – Brighton: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, 30 Aug 2026, 15:00 · 3 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF

Chelsea were favourites: the closing odds implied a 52% chance of a home win, 24% for Brighton and 25% for a draw.
Best closing odds: Chelsea 1.88 at Stake, the draw 3.95 at Stake, Brighton 4.10 at Stake.
Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.2%.
Odds movement: the best price on Brighton drifted from 3.75 at the opening to 4.10 at kick-off.
The closing odds implied a 59% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Chelsea or Brighton?

Chelsea, by a distance: the closing odds put 27.8 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Chelsea – Brighton?

Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.2%) and VBET the least (93.4%).

Chelsea – Brighton: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKER	CHELSEA	DRAW	BRIGHTON	PAYOUT
Stake	1.88 best price	3.95 best price	4.10 best price	97.2%
bwin	1.83	3.90	3.90	94.4%
VBET	1.82	3.70	3.99	93.4%
BEST PRICE	1.88	3.95	4.10	97.2%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH	1.82–1.88 · 3.3%	3.70–3.95 · 6.8%	3.90–4.10 · 5.1%	93.4–97.2%

Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.

The draw had the widest spread: 3.70 to 3.95 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 6.8%.

How did the Chelsea – Brighton odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Brighton drifted from 3.75 when odds opened on 23 Aug to 4.10 at kick-off, a 9.3% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY

DATA

BEST PRICE AT	CHELSEA	DRAW	BRIGHTON
Sun 23 Aug (open)	2.00	3.75	3.75
Thu 27 Aug	1.88	3.90	3.90
Sun 30 Aug (kick-off)	1.88	3.95	4.10

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 59.2%.

Both teams score59%

What the odds imply for each goal line in Chelsea – Brighton.

How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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