Celta Vigo – Athletic Club odds
Celta Vigo and Athletic Club went into the match almost level in the odds.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Celta Vigo – Athletic Club: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 34% for Celta Vigo, 31% for a draw and 35% for Athletic Club.
- Best closing odds: Celta Vigo 2.90 at Stake, the draw 3.15 at Stake, Athletic Club 2.70 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Celta Vigo drifted from 2.37 at the opening to 2.90 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 48% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Celta Vigo or Athletic Club?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 1.4 percentage points between Celta Vigo and Athletic Club.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Celta Vigo – Athletic Club?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Celta Vigo, Stake on the draw and bwin on Athletic Club. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.8%) and VBET the least (93.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | ATHLETIC CLUB | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.90 best price | 3.15 best price | 2.70 best price | 96.8% |
| bwin | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.70 best price | 94.6% |
| VBET | 2.74 | 3.05 | 2.65 | 93.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.90 | 3.15 | 2.70 | 96.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.74–2.90 · 5.8% | 3.05–3.15 · 3.3% | 2.65–2.70 · 1.9% | 93.4–96.8% |
How did the Celta Vigo – Athletic Club odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Celta Vigo drifted from 2.37 when odds opened on 24 Aug to 2.90 at kick-off, a 22.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | ATHLETIC CLUB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 24 Aug (open) | 2.37 | 3.30 | 3.05 |
| Thu 27 Aug | 2.45 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Sun 30 Aug (kick-off) | 2.90 | 3.15 | 2.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 48.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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