Union Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt odds
Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt went into the match almost level in the odds.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Union Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 36% for Union Berlin, 26% for a draw and 38% for Eintracht Frankfurt.
- Best closing odds: Union Berlin 2.70 at Stake, the draw 3.70 at Stake, Eintracht Frankfurt 2.60 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Eintracht Frankfurt shortened from 2.95 at the opening to 2.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 64% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Union Berlin or Eintracht Frankfurt?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 1.4 percentage points between Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Union Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt?
Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.5%) and VBET the least (93.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | UNION BERLIN | DRAW | EINTRACHT FRANKFURT | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.70 best price | 3.70 best price | 2.60 best price | 97.5% |
| bwin | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 94.8% |
| VBET | 2.61 | 3.57 | 2.46 | 93.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.60 | 97.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.60–2.70 · 3.8% | 3.57–3.70 · 3.6% | 2.46–2.60 · 5.7% | 93.5–97.5% |
How did the Union Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Eintracht Frankfurt shortened from 2.95 when odds opened on 22 Jul to 2.60 at kick-off, a 11.9% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | UNION BERLIN | DRAW | EINTRACHT FRANKFURT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 22 Jul (open) | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.95 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 2.43 | 3.55 | 2.85 |
| Sat 29 Aug (kick-off) | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.60 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 64.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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