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PREMIER LEAGUE · FRI 28 AUG · 21:00

Crystal Palace – Man City odds

Man City went into the match as heavy favourites against Crystal Palace.

74 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
Crystal Palace 19%Draw 23%Man City 58%
CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT
97.3%
vs 95.5% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
Crystal Palace5.30
Draw4.30
Man City1.65

Double Chance

3 outcomes
Crystal Palace / Draw2.27
Crystal Palace / Man City1.25
Draw / Man City1.21

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.17
Under 0.54.50

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.85
Under 1.51.83

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.53.70
Under 2.51.24

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.52.10
Under 3.51.63

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.53.50
Under 4.51.26

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.51.73
Under 5.51.98

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.52.25
Under 6.51.55

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.51.29
Under 7.53.25

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.52
Under 8.52.35

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.51.87
Under 9.51.80

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.52.40
Under 10.51.49

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.53.30
Under 11.51.29

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 12.54.60
Under 12.51.16

Over/Under 13.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 13.54.80
Under 13.51.15

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.75
No2.15

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
Crystal Palace (-1)9.75
Draw—
Man City (+1)1.18

Handicap +1

3 outcomes
Crystal Palace (+1)2.20
Draw—
Man City (-1)2.60

Handicap +2

3 outcomes
Crystal Palace (+2)1.43
Draw—
Man City (-2)4.80

Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.04
Under 110.00

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.12
Under 1.256.00

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.20
Under 1.54.40

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.751.24
Under 1.753.95

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.29
Under 23.50

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.47
Under 2.252.65

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.64
Under 2.52.21

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.751.80
Under 2.751.98

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 32.04
Under 31.75

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes
Over 3.252.31
Under 3.251.59

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes
Over 3.52.55
Under 3.51.49

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes
Over 3.753.05
Under 3.751.37

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes
Over 43.90
Under 41.25

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes
Over 4.254.20
Under 4.251.22

Asian Total 4.5

2 outcomes
Over 4.54.60
Under 4.51.19

Crystal Palace Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.49
Under 0.52.55

Crystal Palace Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.30
Under 1.51.32

Crystal Palace Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.510.00
Under 2.51.06

Man City Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.12
Under 0.56.40

Man City Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.61
Under 1.52.27

Man City Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.52.85
Under 2.51.41

Correct Score

59 outcomes
0-017.00
0-18.40
0-29.40
0-313.00
0-425.00
1-017.00
1-18.20
1-28.00
1-313.00
1-423.00
2-031.00
2-117.00
2-214.00
2-323.00
2-445.00
3-090.00
3-145.00
3-246.00
3-360.00
3-4126.00
4-0351.00
4-1151.00
4-2151.00
4-3251.00
4-4501.00
Any other score14.00
0-551.00
1-551.00
2-591.00
3-5251.00
4-5301.00
5-0301.00
5-1401.00
5-2351.00
5-3301.00
5-4301.00
5-5301.00
6-0226.00
6-1226.00
6-2226.00
6-3276.00
0-671.00
1-667.00
2-6101.00
3-6126.00
5-6301.00
0-7126.00
1-7126.00
2-7176.00
3-7226.00
0-8226.00
1-8176.00
2-8251.00
0-9301.00
1-9251.00
2-9301.00
4-7301.00
3-8301.00
4-6276.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Crystal Palace5.20
Draw2.50
Man City2.12

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Crystal Palace / Draw1.72
Crystal Palace / Man City1.51
Draw / Man City1.18

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes4.05
No1.23

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.30
Under 0.53.50

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.40
Under 0.752.90

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.59
Under 12.33

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.98
Under 1.251.80

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.37
Under 1.51.57

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.95
Under 1.751.39

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 24.20
Under 21.21

1st Half — Crystal Palace Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.55
Under 0.51.50

1st Half — Crystal Palace Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.59.00
Under 1.51.05

1st Half — Man City Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.61
Under 0.52.29

1st Half — Man City Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.85
Under 1.51.25

1st Half — Man City Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.510.00
Under 2.51.04

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-03.50
0-13.70
0-27.20
1-07.20
1-17.30
1-216.00
2-028.00
2-130.00
2-270.00
Any other score10.00
0-321.00
1-341.00
2-3176.00
3-0141.00
3-1151.00
3-2226.00
3-3301.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Crystal Palace4.70
Draw2.90
Man City2.00

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Crystal Palace / Draw1.84
Crystal Palace / Man City1.44
Draw / Man City1.23

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.20
No1.34

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.33
Under 13.25

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.62
Under 1.252.27

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.90
Under 1.51.87

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.22
Under 1.751.64

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 22.90
Under 21.40

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.253.35
Under 2.251.31

2nd Half — Crystal Palace Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.15
Under 0.51.68

2nd Half — Crystal Palace Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.56.80
Under 1.51.10

2nd Half — Crystal Palace Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.515.00
Under 2.51.01

2nd Half — Man City Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.45
Under 0.52.70

2nd Half — Man City Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.05
Under 1.51.37

2nd Half — Man City Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.57.60
Under 2.51.08

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-04.90
0-13.90
0-26.60
1-06.80
1-16.60
1-212.00
2-022.00
2-122.00
2-240.00
Any other score6.40
0-315.00
1-323.00
2-367.00
3-076.00
3-167.00
3-2111.00
3-3201.00

Crystal Palace – Man City: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, · 3 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF
  • Man City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 58% chance of an away win, 19% for Crystal Palace and 23% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: Crystal Palace 5.30 at VBET, the draw 4.30 at Stake, Man City 1.65 at bwin.
  • Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.0%.
  • Odds movement: the best price on Crystal Palace shortened from 5.50 at the opening to 5.30 at kick-off.
  • The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Crystal Palace or Man City?

Man City, by a distance: the closing odds put 39.2 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Crystal Palace – Man City?

It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Crystal Palace, Stake on the draw and bwin on Man City. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.0%) and bwin the least (94.3%).

Crystal Palace – Man City: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERCRYSTAL PALACEDRAWMAN CITYPAYOUT
Stake5.204.30 best price1.65 best price97.0%
VBET5.30 best price3.981.6495.3%
bwin4.754.101.65 best price94.3%
BEST PRICE5.304.301.6597.3%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH4.75–5.30 · 11.6%3.98–4.30 · 8.0%1.64–1.65 · 0.6%94.3–97.0%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.
Crystal Palace had the widest spread: 4.75 to 5.30 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 11.6%.

How did the Crystal Palace – Man City odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Crystal Palace shortened from 5.50 when odds opened on 23 Aug to 5.30 at kick-off, a 3.6% drop.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
2.004.0023 Aug26 Aug28 Aug5.304.301.65
DATA
BEST PRICE ATCRYSTAL PALACEDRAWMAN CITY
Sun 23 Aug (open)5.504.301.60
Wed 26 Aug5.004.201.64
Fri 28 Aug (kick-off)5.304.301.65

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 55.5%.

  • Both teams score56%
What the odds imply for each goal line in Crystal Palace – Man City.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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