Bayern Munich – Stuttgart odds
Bayern Munich went into the match as heavy favourites against Stuttgart.
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2nd Half
Bayern Munich – Stuttgart: closing odds analysis
- Bayern Munich were favourites: the closing odds implied a 77% chance of a home win, 10% for Stuttgart and 13% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Bayern Munich 1.25 at bwin, the draw 8.00 at Stake, Stuttgart 11.00 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Stuttgart drifted from 7.80 at the opening to 11.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 64% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Bayern Munich or Stuttgart?
Bayern Munich, by a distance: the closing odds put 67.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Bayern Munich – Stuttgart?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Bayern Munich, Stake on the draw and VBET on Stuttgart. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.0%) and VBET the least (94.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | BAYERN MUNICH | DRAW | STUTTGART | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.24 | 8.00 best price | 10.00 | 97.0% |
| bwin | 1.25 best price | 7.25 | 8.75 | 95.0% |
| VBET | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 best price | 94.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.25 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 98.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.22–1.25 · 2.5% | 7.00–8.00 · 14.3% | 8.75–11.00 · 25.7% | 94.9–97.0% |
How did the Bayern Munich – Stuttgart odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Stuttgart drifted from 7.80 when odds opened on 22 Jul to 11.00 at kick-off, a 41.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BAYERN MUNICH | DRAW | STUTTGART |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 22 Jul (open) | 1.32 | 6.60 | 7.80 |
| Mon 10 Aug | 1.32 | 6.60 | 8.00 |
| Fri 28 Aug (kick-off) | 1.25 | 8.00 | 11.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 64.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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