Žalgiris Kaunas – Besiktas odds
Besiktas went into the match as heavy favourites against Žalgiris Kaunas.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Žalgiris Kaunas – Besiktas: closing odds analysis
- Besiktas were favourites: the closing odds implied a 70% chance of an away win, 10% for Žalgiris Kaunas and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Žalgiris Kaunas 9.80 at VBET, the draw 5.30 at VBET, Besiktas 1.44 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Žalgiris Kaunas drifted from 6.80 at the opening to 9.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 44% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Žalgiris Kaunas or Besiktas?
Besiktas, by a distance: the closing odds put 59.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Žalgiris Kaunas – Besiktas?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Žalgiris Kaunas, VBET on the draw and bwin on Besiktas. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.7%) and VBET the least (93.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | ŽALGIRIS KAUNAS | DRAW | BESIKTAS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 8.50 | 4.10 | 1.44 best price | 94.7% |
| Stake | 8.80 | 5.20 | 1.31 | 93.5% |
| VBET | 9.80 best price | 5.30 best price | 1.28 | 93.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 9.80 | 5.30 | 1.44 | 101.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 8.50–9.80 · 15.3% | 4.10–5.30 · 29.3% | 1.28–1.44 · 12.5% | 93.3–94.7% |
How did the Žalgiris Kaunas – Besiktas odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Žalgiris Kaunas drifted from 6.80 when odds opened on 22 Aug to 9.80 at kick-off, a 44.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ŽALGIRIS KAUNAS | DRAW | BESIKTAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 22 Aug (open) | 6.80 | 4.60 | 1.53 |
| Mon 24 Aug | 7.40 | 4.75 | 1.53 |
| Thu 27 Aug (kick-off) | 9.80 | 5.30 | 1.44 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 43.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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