Rijeka – FC Midtjylland odds
Rijeka went into the match as narrow favourites against FC Midtjylland.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Rijeka – FC Midtjylland: closing odds analysis
- Rijeka were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 32% for FC Midtjylland and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Rijeka 2.45 at bwin, the draw 3.47 at VBET, FC Midtjylland 2.96 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on FC Midtjylland drifted from 2.40 at the opening to 2.96 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Rijeka or FC Midtjylland?
Rijeka, but only just: the closing odds put 7.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Rijeka – FC Midtjylland?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Rijeka, VBET on the draw and VBET on FC Midtjylland. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | RIJEKA | DRAW | FC MIDTJYLLAND | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.36 | 3.47 best price | 2.96 best price | 95.3% |
| Stake | 2.33 | 3.45 | 2.85 | 93.5% |
| bwin | 2.45 best price | 2.87 | 2.90 | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.45 | 3.47 | 2.96 | 96.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.33–2.45 · 5.2% | 2.87–3.47 · 20.9% | 2.85–2.96 · 3.9% | 90.8–95.3% |
How did the Rijeka – FC Midtjylland odds move before kick-off?
The best price on FC Midtjylland drifted from 2.40 when odds opened on 22 Aug to 2.96 at kick-off, a 23.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | RIJEKA | DRAW | FC MIDTJYLLAND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 22 Aug (open) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Tue 25 Aug | 2.87 | 3.35 | 2.40 |
| Thu 27 Aug (kick-off) | 2.45 | 3.47 | 2.96 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 53.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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