Monaco – Górnik Zabrze odds
Monaco went into the match as heavy favourites against Górnik Zabrze.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Monaco – Górnik Zabrze: closing odds analysis
- Monaco were favourites: the closing odds implied a 68% chance of a home win, 12% for Górnik Zabrze and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Monaco 1.44 at bwin, the draw 5.60 at Stake, Górnik Zabrze 8.60 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Górnik Zabrze drifted from 7.20 at the opening to 8.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Monaco or Górnik Zabrze?
Monaco, by a distance: the closing odds put 56.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Monaco – Górnik Zabrze?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Monaco, Stake on the draw and Stake on Górnik Zabrze. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.5%) and VBET the least (91.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | MONACO | DRAW | GÓRNIK ZABRZE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.29 | 5.60 best price | 8.60 best price | 93.5% |
| bwin | 1.44 best price | 4.00 | 6.75 | 91.5% |
| VBET | 1.34 | 4.50 | 7.80 | 91.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.44 | 5.60 | 8.60 | 101.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.29–1.44 · 11.6% | 4.00–5.60 · 40.0% | 6.75–8.60 · 27.4% | 91.2–93.5% |
How did the Monaco – Górnik Zabrze odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Górnik Zabrze drifted from 7.20 when odds opened on 23 Aug to 8.60 at kick-off, a 19.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MONACO | DRAW | GÓRNIK ZABRZE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 23 Aug (open) | 1.47 | 4.90 | 7.20 |
| Tue 25 Aug | 1.46 | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| Thu 27 Aug (kick-off) | 1.44 | 5.60 | 8.60 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 49.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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