Hapoel Tel Aviv – Atalanta odds
Atalanta went into the match as heavy favourites against Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Hapoel Tel Aviv – Atalanta: closing odds analysis
- Atalanta were favourites: the closing odds implied a 60% chance of an away win, 16% for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hapoel Tel Aviv 6.20 at VBET, the draw 4.30 at Stake, Atalanta 1.61 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hapoel Tel Aviv drifted from 5.60 at the opening to 6.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hapoel Tel Aviv or Atalanta?
Atalanta, by a distance: the closing odds put 44.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hapoel Tel Aviv – Atalanta?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Hapoel Tel Aviv, Stake on the draw and bwin on Atalanta. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.8%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | HAPOEL TEL AVIV | DRAW | ATALANTA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 6.00 | 4.30 best price | 1.50 | 93.8% |
| bwin | 5.50 | 3.40 | 1.61 best price | 91.2% |
| VBET | 6.20 best price | 3.74 | 1.49 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 6.20 | 4.30 | 1.61 | 98.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 5.50–6.20 · 12.7% | 3.40–4.30 · 26.5% | 1.49–1.61 · 8.1% | 90.9–93.8% |
How did the Hapoel Tel Aviv – Atalanta odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hapoel Tel Aviv drifted from 5.60 when odds opened on 22 Aug to 6.20 at kick-off, a 10.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HAPOEL TEL AVIV | DRAW | ATALANTA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 22 Aug (open) | 5.60 | 4.10 | 1.65 |
| Tue 25 Aug | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.68 |
| Thu 27 Aug (kick-off) | 6.20 | 4.30 | 1.61 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 49.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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