Brighton – Tromsø odds
Brighton went into the match as heavy favourites against Tromsø.
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2nd Half
Brighton – Tromsø: closing odds analysis
- Brighton were favourites: the closing odds implied a 82% chance of a home win, 8% for Tromsø and 11% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Brighton 1.13 at bwin, the draw 11.00 at bwin, Tromsø 17.00 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 7.40 at the opening to 11.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 42% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Brighton or Tromsø?
Brighton, by a distance: the closing odds put 73.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brighton – Tromsø?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Brighton, bwin on the draw and Stake on Tromsø. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.4%) and bwin the least (90.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRIGHTON | DRAW | TROMSØ | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.12 | 8.40 | 17.00 best price | 93.4% |
| VBET | 1.12 | 7.40 | 15.00 | 91.4% |
| bwin | 1.13 best price | 11.00 best price | 7.75 | 90.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.13 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 96.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.12–1.13 · 0.9% | 7.40–11.00 · 48.6% | 7.75–17.00 · 119.4% | 90.5–93.4% |
How did the Brighton – Tromsø odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 7.40 when odds opened on 24 Aug to 11.00 at kick-off, a 48.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRIGHTON | DRAW | TROMSØ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 24 Aug (open) | 1.24 | 7.40 | 14.00 |
| Wed 26 Aug | 1.23 | 7.80 | 14.00 |
| Thu 27 Aug (kick-off) | 1.13 | 11.00 | 17.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 41.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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