Barcelona – Athletic Club odds
Barcelona went into the match as heavy favourites against Athletic Club.
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Barcelona – Athletic Club: closing odds analysis
- Barcelona were favourites: the closing odds implied a 78% chance of a home win, 9% for Athletic Club and 14% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Barcelona 1.25 at bwin, the draw 7.40 at Stake, Athletic Club 13.00 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Athletic Club drifted from 7.20 at the opening to 13.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Barcelona or Athletic Club?
Barcelona, by a distance: the closing odds put 68.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Barcelona – Athletic Club?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Barcelona, Stake on the draw and VBET on Athletic Club. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.9%) and bwin the least (95.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | BARCELONA | DRAW | ATHLETIC CLUB | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.24 | 7.40 best price | 11.00 | 96.9% |
| VBET | 1.22 | 6.70 | 13.00 best price | 95.6% |
| bwin | 1.25 best price | 7.00 | 9.50 | 95.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.25 | 7.40 | 13.00 | 98.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.22–1.25 · 2.5% | 6.70–7.40 · 10.4% | 9.50–13.00 · 36.8% | 95.4–96.9% |
How did the Barcelona – Athletic Club odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Athletic Club drifted from 7.20 when odds opened on 22 Jul to 13.00 at kick-off, a 80.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BARCELONA | DRAW | ATHLETIC CLUB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 22 Jul (open) | 1.42 | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| Mon 10 Aug | 1.45 | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| Thu 27 Aug (kick-off) | 1.25 | 7.40 | 13.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 53.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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