Austria Wien – Braga odds
Braga went into the match as clear favourites against Austria Wien.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Austria Wien – Braga: closing odds analysis
- Braga were favourites: the closing odds implied a 46% chance of an away win, 25% for Austria Wien and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Austria Wien 3.70 at bwin, the draw 3.40 at Stake, Braga 2.10 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Braga drifted from 2.05 at the opening to 2.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Austria Wien or Braga?
Braga, clearly: the closing odds put 20.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Austria Wien – Braga?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Austria Wien, Stake on the draw and bwin on Braga. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.8%) and bwin the least (90.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | AUSTRIA WIEN | DRAW | BRAGA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 3.65 | 3.40 best price | 2.01 | 93.8% |
| VBET | 3.63 | 3.29 | 1.92 | 90.9% |
| bwin | 3.70 best price | 2.80 | 2.10 best price | 90.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.70 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 96.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.63–3.70 · 1.9% | 2.80–3.40 · 21.4% | 1.92–2.10 · 9.4% | 90.6–93.8% |
How did the Austria Wien – Braga odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Braga drifted from 2.05 when odds opened on 21 Aug to 2.10 at kick-off, a 2.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | AUSTRIA WIEN | DRAW | BRAGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 21 Aug (open) | 3.65 | 3.45 | 2.05 |
| Mon 24 Aug | 3.45 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Thu 27 Aug (kick-off) | 3.70 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 50.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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