Valencia – Real Betis odds
Valencia and Real Betis went into the match almost level in the odds.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Valencia – Real Betis: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 36% for Valencia, 29% for a draw and 34% for Real Betis.
- Best closing odds: Valencia 2.75 at Stake, the draw 3.25 at Stake, Real Betis 2.80 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Real Betis drifted from 2.70 at the opening to 2.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Valencia or Real Betis?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 1.7 percentage points between Valencia and Real Betis.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Valencia – Real Betis?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Valencia, Stake on the draw and bwin on Real Betis. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.0%) and bwin the least (94.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | VALENCIA | DRAW | REAL BETIS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.75 best price | 3.25 best price | 2.70 | 96.0% |
| VBET | 2.61 | 3.23 | 2.80 best price | 95.2% |
| bwin | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.80 best price | 94.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 97.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.55–2.75 · 7.8% | 3.20–3.25 · 1.6% | 2.70–2.80 · 3.7% | 94.2–96.0% |
How did the Valencia – Real Betis odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Real Betis drifted from 2.70 when odds opened on 22 Jul to 2.80 at kick-off, a 3.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VALENCIA | DRAW | REAL BETIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 22 Jul (open) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Sun 9 Aug | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Tue 25 Aug (kick-off) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 50.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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