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PREMIER LEAGUE · SUN 23 AUG · 17:30

Newcastle – Liverpool odds

Liverpool went into the match as clear favourites against Newcastle.

76 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
Newcastle 30%Draw 24%Liverpool 46%
CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT
107.5%
vs 93.8% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
Newcastle3.80
Draw4.00
Liverpool2.40

Double Chance

3 outcomes
Newcastle / Draw1.90
Newcastle / Liverpool1.27
Draw / Liverpool1.29

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.12
Under 0.56.00

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.50
Under 1.52.40

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.52.65
Under 2.51.41

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.51.53
Under 3.52.30

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.52.20
Under 4.51.60

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.53.40
Under 5.51.27

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.52.70
Under 6.51.40

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.51.13
Under 7.55.50

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.25
Under 8.53.60

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.51.44
Under 9.52.55

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.51.73
Under 10.51.95

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.52.20
Under 11.51.58

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 12.52.90
Under 12.51.36

Over/Under 13.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 13.54.00
Under 13.51.21

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.46
No2.65

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
Newcastle (-1)7.00
Draw5.50
Liverpool (+1)1.27

Handicap +1

3 outcomes
Newcastle (+1)1.85
Draw3.90
Liverpool (-1)3.10

Handicap +2

3 outcomes
Newcastle (+2)1.33
Draw5.50
Liverpool (-2)5.50

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.09
Under 1.257.00

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.14
Under 1.55.80

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.751.16
Under 1.755.00

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.19
Under 24.60

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.33
Under 2.253.25

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.47
Under 2.52.65

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.751.57
Under 2.752.37

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 31.70
Under 32.11

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes
Over 3.251.92
Under 3.251.86

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes
Over 3.52.13
Under 3.51.69

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes
Over 3.752.43
Under 3.751.54

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes
Over 42.95
Under 41.39

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes
Over 4.253.25
Under 4.251.33

Asian Total 4.5

2 outcomes
Over 4.53.55
Under 4.51.28

Asian Total 4.75

2 outcomes
Over 4.754.30
Under 4.751.21

Asian Total 5

2 outcomes
Over 55.60
Under 51.13

Newcastle Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.28
Under 0.53.55

Newcastle Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.32
Under 1.51.59

Newcastle Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.55.40
Under 2.51.15

Liverpool Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.12
Under 0.56.40

Liverpool Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.61
Under 1.52.27

Liverpool Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.52.85
Under 2.51.41

Correct Score

71 outcomes
0-023.00
0-112.00
0-214.00
0-317.00
0-436.00
0-576.00
1-018.00
1-18.20
1-28.60
1-314.00
1-425.00
1-561.00
2-025.00
2-113.00
2-211.00
2-318.00
2-436.00
2-576.00
3-050.00
3-127.00
3-226.00
3-335.00
3-480.00
3-5151.00
4-0151.00
4-180.00
4-280.00
4-3101.00
4-4201.00
4-5351.00
5-0351.00
5-1201.00
5-2176.00
5-3276.00
5-4301.00
5-5301.00
Any other score12.00
6-0176.00
7-0301.00
8-0301.00
6-1151.00
7-1226.00
6-2151.00
7-2301.00
8-2276.00
6-3201.00
8-3301.00
6-4226.00
8-4301.00
6-5301.00
0-671.00
1-671.00
2-691.00
3-6126.00
4-6226.00
0-7126.00
1-7101.00
2-7151.00
3-7201.00
4-7276.00
1-8176.00
2-8226.00
3-8226.00
0-9226.00
7-3226.00
5-6301.00
0-8226.00
3-9276.00
7-4301.00
1-9301.00
2-9276.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Newcastle4.00
Draw2.60
Liverpool2.36

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Newcastle / Draw1.59
Newcastle / Liverpool1.49
Draw / Liverpool1.26

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.30
No1.32

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.25
Under 0.54.00

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.32
Under 0.753.30

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.45
Under 12.70

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.78
Under 1.252.00

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.11
Under 1.51.71

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.55
Under 1.751.50

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 23.45
Under 21.30

1st Half — Newcastle Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.07
Under 0.51.74

1st Half — Newcastle Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.56.40
Under 1.51.11

1st Half — Liverpool Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.61
Under 0.52.27

1st Half — Liverpool Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.85
Under 1.51.25

1st Half — Liverpool Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.510.00
Under 2.51.04

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-04.00
0-14.30
0-28.40
0-325.00
1-06.40
1-16.40
1-214.00
1-336.00
2-018.00
2-120.00
2-245.00
2-3111.00
3-067.00
3-171.00
3-2151.00
3-3301.00
Any other score8.80

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Newcastle3.65
Draw3.00
Liverpool2.22

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Newcastle / Draw1.69
Newcastle / Liverpool1.43
Draw / Liverpool1.32

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes2.60
No1.48

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.23
Under 14.00

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.47
Under 1.252.65

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.70
Under 1.52.12

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.751.92
Under 1.751.85

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 22.35
Under 21.58

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.252.75
Under 2.251.44

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.53.20
Under 2.51.33

2nd Half — Newcastle Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.76
Under 0.52.03

2nd Half — Newcastle Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.54.70
Under 1.51.18

2nd Half — Newcastle Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.512.00
Under 2.51.02

2nd Half — Liverpool Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.44
Under 0.52.70

2nd Half — Liverpool Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.00
Under 1.51.37

2nd Half — Liverpool Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.57.40
Under 2.51.08

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-06.00
0-14.70
0-28.20
0-317.00
1-06.40
1-16.00
1-211.00
1-323.00
2-016.00
2-115.00
2-227.00
2-351.00
3-041.00
3-136.00
3-261.00
3-3151.00
Any other score5.60

Newcastle – Liverpool: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, · 3 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF
  • Liverpool were favourites: the closing odds implied a 46% chance of an away win, 30% for Newcastle and 24% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: Newcastle 3.80 at Stake, the draw 4.00 at Stake, Liverpool 2.40 at bwin.
  • Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.0%.
  • Odds movement: the best price on Newcastle drifted from 2.95 at the opening to 3.80 at kick-off.
  • The closing odds implied a 64% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Newcastle or Liverpool?

Liverpool, clearly: the closing odds put 15.7 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Newcastle – Liverpool?

It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Newcastle, Stake on the draw and bwin on Liverpool. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.0%) and bwin the least (89.1%).

Newcastle – Liverpool: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERNEWCASTLEDRAWLIVERPOOLPAYOUT
Stake3.80 best price4.00 best price1.9397.0%
VBET3.713.851.9295.2%
bwin2.303.702.40 best price89.1%
BEST PRICE3.804.002.40107.5%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH2.30–3.80 · 65.2%3.70–4.00 · 8.1%1.92–2.40 · 25.0%89.1–97.0%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.
Newcastle had the widest spread: 2.30 to 3.80 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 65.2%.

How did the Newcastle – Liverpool odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Newcastle drifted from 2.95 when odds opened on 22 Jul to 3.80 at kick-off, a 28.8% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
2.003.004.0022 Jul8 Aug23 Aug4.003.802.40
DATA
BEST PRICE ATNEWCASTLEDRAWLIVERPOOL
Wed 22 Jul (open)2.953.902.37
Sat 8 Aug3.253.902.25
Sun 23 Aug (kick-off)3.804.002.40

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 64.5%.

  • Both teams score64%
What the odds imply for each goal line in Newcastle – Liverpool.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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