PREMIER LEAGUE · SUN 23 AUG · 15:00

Brighton – Aston Villa odds

Brighton went into the match as clear favourites against Aston Villa.

75 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers

FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.

WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED

Brighton 43%Draw 27%Aston Villa 31%

CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT

102.3%

vs 93.1% average

KICK-OFF

15:00

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes

Brighton	2.37
Draw	3.60
Aston Villa	3.60

Double Chance

3 outcomes

Brighton / Draw	1.31
Brighton / Aston Villa	1.33
Draw / Aston Villa	1.74

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.80

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.55
Under 1.5	2.25

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	1.25
Under 2.5	3.60

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	1.65
Under 3.5	2.10

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 4.5	2.45
Under 4.5	1.47

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 5.5	2.95
Under 5.5	1.35

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 6.5	2.50
Under 6.5	1.46

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 7.5	1.20
Under 7.5	4.10

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 8.5	1.38
Under 8.5	2.80

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 9.5	1.65
Under 9.5	2.10

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 10.5	2.05
Under 10.5	1.68

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 11.5	2.70
Under 11.5	1.41

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 12.5	3.70
Under 12.5	1.24

Over/Under 13.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 13.5	5.25
Under 13.5	1.14

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	1.80
No	1.98

Handicap -2

3 outcomes

Brighton (-2)	7.75
Draw	5.75
Aston Villa (+2)	1.24

Handicap -1

3 outcomes

Brighton (-1)	3.60
Draw	3.70
Aston Villa (+1)	1.73

Handicap +1

3 outcomes

Brighton (+1)	1.29
Draw	5.00
Aston Villa (-1)	7.25

Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.07
Under 0.75	8.00

Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.08
Under 1	7.40

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.19
Under 1.25	4.50

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.31
Under 1.5	3.35

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	1.38
Under 1.75	2.95

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	1.49
Under 2	2.60

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	1.73
Under 2.25	2.08

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	1.97
Under 2.5	1.81

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes

Over 2.75	2.24
Under 2.75	1.63

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes

Over 3	2.70
Under 3	1.45

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes

Over 3.25	3.05
Under 3.25	1.37

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	3.35
Under 3.5	1.31

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes

Over 3.75	4.10
Under 3.75	1.22

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes

Over 4	5.60
Under 4	1.13

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes

Over 4.25	6.00
Under 4.25	1.12

Asian Total 4.5

2 outcomes

Over 4.5	5.40
Under 4.5	1.15

Brighton Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.24
Under 0.5	4.00

Brighton Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.12
Under 1.5	1.70

Brighton Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	4.60
Under 2.5	1.19

Aston Villa Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.44
Under 0.5	2.75

Aston Villa Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	3.05
Under 1.5	1.37

Aston Villa Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	8.80
Under 2.5	1.08

Correct Score

59 outcomes

0-0	11.00
0-1	11.00
0-2	18.00
0-3	50.00
0-4	151.00
0-5	301.00
1-0	7.75
1-1	6.60
1-2	12.00
1-3	30.00
1-4	126.00
1-5	226.00
2-0	9.75
2-1	8.60
2-2	14.00
2-3	40.00
2-4	151.00
2-5	276.00
3-0	18.00
3-1	17.00
3-2	30.00
3-3	70.00
3-4	301.00
3-5	301.00
4-0	50.00
4-1	45.00
4-2	80.00
4-3	201.00
4-4	751.00
4-5	301.00
5-0	101.00
5-1	96.00
5-2	151.00
5-3	301.00
5-4	301.00
5-5	301.00
Any other score	30.00
6-0	101.00
7-0	201.00
8-0	276.00
6-1	101.00
7-1	201.00
6-2	151.00
7-2	226.00
8-2	301.00
6-3	201.00
8-3	251.00
6-4	301.00
0-6	176.00
1-6	226.00
2-6	226.00
3-6	251.00
4-6	301.00
0-7	301.00
1-7	301.00
3-7	276.00
8-1	301.00
7-3	301.00
2-7	301.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes

Brighton	2.75
Draw	2.20
Aston Villa	4.20

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes

Brighton / Draw	1.24
Brighton / Aston Villa	1.65
Draw / Aston Villa	1.46

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	4.60
No	1.19

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.41
Under 0.5	2.85

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.57
Under 0.75	2.37

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.89
Under 1	1.88

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	2.38
Under 1.25	1.56

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.85
Under 1.5	1.41

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	3.65
Under 1.75	1.27

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	5.80
Under 2	1.13

1st Half — Brighton Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.94
Under 0.5	1.84

1st Half — Brighton Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	5.60
Under 1.5	1.14

1st Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	2.44
Under 0.5	1.54

1st Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	8.40
Under 1.5	1.06

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes

0-0	2.85
0-1	5.60
0-2	20.00
0-3	91.00
1-0	4.10
1-1	7.40
1-2	29.00
1-3	126.00
2-0	10.00
2-1	21.00
2-2	90.00
2-3	251.00
3-0	36.00
3-1	71.00
3-2	251.00
3-3	301.00
Any other score	17.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes

Brighton	2.49
Draw	2.60
Aston Villa	3.70

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes

Brighton / Draw	1.32
Brighton / Aston Villa	1.53
Draw / Aston Villa	1.57

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	3.55
No	1.29

2nd Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.34
Under 0.75	3.20

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.48
Under 1	2.60

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.84
Under 1.25	1.94

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.19
Under 1.5	1.66

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	2.65
Under 1.75	1.46

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	3.75
Under 2	1.26

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	3.75
Under 2.25	1.26

2nd Half — Brighton Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.69
Under 0.5	2.13

2nd Half — Brighton Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	4.20
Under 1.5	1.21

2nd Half — Brighton Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	11.00
Under 2.5	1.03

2nd Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	2.05
Under 0.5	1.75

2nd Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	6.20
Under 1.5	1.11

2nd Half — Aston Villa Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	15.00
Under 2.5	1.01

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes

0-0	4.00
0-1	5.40
0-2	16.00
0-3	61.00
1-0	4.10
1-1	6.40
1-2	20.00
1-3	76.00
2-0	9.00
2-1	15.00
2-2	50.00
2-3	151.00
3-0	26.00
3-1	41.00
3-2	126.00
3-3	301.00
Any other score	9.60

Brighton – Aston Villa: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, 23 Aug 2026, 15:00 · 3 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF

Brighton were favourites: the closing odds implied a 43% chance of a home win, 31% for Aston Villa and 27% for a draw.
Best closing odds: Brighton 2.37 at bwin, the draw 3.60 at bwin, Aston Villa 3.60 at Stake.
Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.0%.
Odds movement: the best price on Aston Villa drifted from 2.95 at the opening to 3.60 at kick-off.
The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Brighton or Aston Villa?

Brighton, clearly: the closing odds put 12.1 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brighton – Aston Villa?

It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Brighton, bwin on the draw and Stake on Aston Villa. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.0%) and bwin the least (88.9%).

Brighton – Aston Villa: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKER	BRIGHTON	DRAW	ASTON VILLA	PAYOUT
Stake	2.14	3.50	3.60 best price	97.0%
VBET	2.06	3.38	3.45	93.4%
bwin	2.37 best price	3.60 best price	2.35	88.9%
BEST PRICE	2.37	3.60	3.60	102.3%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH	2.06–2.37 · 15.0%	3.38–3.60 · 6.5%	2.35–3.60 · 53.2%	88.9–97.0%

Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.

Aston Villa had the widest spread: 2.35 to 3.60 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 53.2%.

How did the Brighton – Aston Villa odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Aston Villa drifted from 2.95 when odds opened on 22 Jul to 3.60 at kick-off, a 22.0% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY

DATA

BEST PRICE AT	BRIGHTON	DRAW	ASTON VILLA
Wed 22 Jul (open)	2.40	3.70	2.95
Sat 8 Aug	2.40	3.70	2.95
Sun 23 Aug (kick-off)	2.37	3.60	3.60

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 52.8%.

Both teams score53%

What the odds imply for each goal line in Brighton – Aston Villa.

How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.