Atalanta β Sassuolo odds
Atalanta went into the match as heavy favourites against Sassuolo.
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2nd Half
Atalanta β Sassuolo: closing odds analysis
- Atalanta were favourites: the closing odds implied a 62% chance of a home win, 16% for Sassuolo and 22% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Atalanta 1.56 at Stake, the draw 4.60 at Stake, Sassuolo 6.00 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sassuolo drifted from 5.80 at the opening to 6.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Atalanta or Sassuolo?
Atalanta, by a distance: the closing odds put 46.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Atalanta β Sassuolo?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Atalanta, Stake on the draw and bwin on Sassuolo. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.0%) and VBET the least (93.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | ATALANTA | DRAW | SASSUOLO | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.56 best price | 4.60 best price | 5.80 | 97.0% |
| bwin | 1.51 | 4.50 | 6.00 best price | 95.1% |
| VBET | 1.51 | 4.20 | 6.00 best price | 93.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.56 | 4.60 | 6.00 | 97.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.51β1.56 Β· 3.3% | 4.20β4.60 Β· 9.5% | 5.80β6.00 Β· 3.4% | 93.7β97.0% |
How did the Atalanta β Sassuolo odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sassuolo drifted from 5.80 when odds opened on 25 Jul to 6.00 at kick-off, a 3.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ATALANTA | DRAW | SASSUOLO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 25 Jul (open) | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.80 |
| Sun 9 Aug | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.80 |
| Sun 23 Aug (kick-off) | 1.56 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 53.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 Γ· decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 Γ· (1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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