LIGUE 1 · SAT 22 AUG · 20:45

Toulouse – Lyon odds

Toulouse went into the match as clear favourites against Lyon.

74 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers

FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.

WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED

Toulouse 42%Draw 28%Lyon 30%

CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT

97.8%

vs 95.6% average

KICK-OFF

20:45

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes

Toulouse	2.30
Draw	3.50
Lyon	3.31

Double Chance

3 outcomes

Toulouse / Draw	1.37
Toulouse / Lyon	1.33
Draw / Lyon	1.70

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.33
Under 0.5	3.10

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.40
Under 1.5	2.70

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	2.37
Under 2.5	1.51

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	1.40
Under 3.5	2.70

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 4.5	1.90
Under 4.5	1.78

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 5.5	2.87
Under 5.5	1.36

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 6.5	1.11
Under 6.5	5.50

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 7.5	1.24
Under 7.5	3.50

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 8.5	1.44
Under 8.5	2.45

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 9.5	1.75
Under 9.5	1.88

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 10.5	2.25
Under 10.5	1.53

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 11.5	3.00
Under 11.5	1.31

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 12.5	4.20
Under 12.5	1.18

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	1.71
No	2.10

Handicap -2

3 outcomes

Toulouse (-2)	8.75
Draw	—
Lyon (+2)	1.20

Handicap -1

3 outcomes

Toulouse (-1)	4.10
Draw	3.90
Lyon (+1)	1.61

Handicap +1

3 outcomes

Toulouse (+1)	1.36
Draw	4.75
Lyon (-1)	6.25

Handicap +2

3 outcomes

Toulouse (+2)	1.16
Draw	7.25
Lyon (-2)	10.50

Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.06
Under 0.75	8.60

Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.07
Under 1	8.20

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.17
Under 1.25	4.90

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	1.28
Under 1.5	3.60

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	1.34
Under 1.75	3.20

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	1.42
Under 2	2.80

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	1.65
Under 2.25	2.21

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	1.87
Under 2.5	1.91

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes

Over 2.75	2.10
Under 2.75	1.71

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes

Over 3	2.49
Under 3	1.52

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes

Over 3.25	2.80
Under 3.25	1.42

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes

Over 3.5	3.10
Under 3.5	1.36

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes

Over 3.75	3.80
Under 3.75	1.26

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes

Over 4	5.20
Under 4	1.16

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes

Over 4.25	5.40
Under 4.25	1.14

Toulouse Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.24
Under 0.5	3.95

Toulouse Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.14
Under 1.5	1.69

Toulouse Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	4.70
Under 2.5	1.19

Lyon Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.36
Under 0.5	3.10

Lyon Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.65
Under 1.5	1.46

Lyon Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	7.00
Under 2.5	1.11

Correct Score

58 outcomes

0-0	13.00
0-1	11.00
0-2	16.00
0-3	40.00
0-4	126.00
0-5	176.00
1-0	8.60
1-1	6.60
1-2	11.00
1-3	26.00
1-4	80.00
1-5	176.00
2-0	11.50
2-1	8.80
2-2	13.00
2-3	35.00
2-4	101.00
2-5	226.00
3-0	21.00
3-1	17.00
3-2	28.00
3-3	60.00
3-4	201.00
3-5	251.00
4-0	60.00
4-1	45.00
4-2	70.00
4-3	201.00
4-4	501.00
4-5	251.00
5-0	96.00
5-1	86.00
5-2	126.00
5-3	226.00
5-4	251.00
5-5	276.00
Any other score	29.00
6-0	126.00
6-1	101.00
6-2	151.00
7-2	226.00
6-3	226.00
0-6	151.00
1-6	176.00
2-6	201.00
3-6	201.00
0-7	276.00
1-7	276.00
2-7	301.00
3-7	301.00
0-8	276.00
1-8	301.00
2-8	301.00
7-1	201.00
4-6	301.00
7-3	276.00
7-0	226.00
8-1	301.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes

Toulouse	2.85
Draw	2.27
Lyon	3.75

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes

Toulouse / Draw	1.28
Toulouse / Lyon	1.63
Draw / Lyon	1.43

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	4.30
No	1.21

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	3.00

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.52
Under 0.75	2.47

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.81
Under 1	1.98

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	2.27
Under 1.25	1.62

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.70
Under 1.5	1.45

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	3.45
Under 1.75	1.30

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	5.40
Under 2	1.15

1st Half — Toulouse Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.95
Under 0.5	1.82

1st Half — Toulouse Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	5.60
Under 1.5	1.13

1st Half — Lyon Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	2.25
Under 0.5	1.62

1st Half — Lyon Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	7.40
Under 1.5	1.08

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes

0-0	3.00
0-1	5.40
0-2	17.00
0-3	71.00
1-0	4.30
1-1	7.10
1-2	25.00
1-3	101.00
2-0	11.00
2-1	20.00
2-2	70.00
2-3	251.00
3-0	36.00
3-1	67.00
3-2	201.00
3-3	251.00
Any other score	15.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes

Toulouse	2.60
Draw	2.65
Lyon	3.37

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes

Toulouse / Draw	1.36
Toulouse / Lyon	1.52
Draw / Lyon	1.52

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	3.30
No	1.32

2nd Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes

Over 0.75	1.31
Under 0.75	3.40

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes

Over 1	1.43
Under 1	2.80

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes

Over 1.25	1.76
Under 1.25	2.03

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	2.09
Under 1.5	1.72

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes

Over 1.75	2.50
Under 1.75	1.51

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes

Over 2	3.45
Under 2	1.30

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes

Over 2.25	3.80
Under 2.25	1.25

2nd Half — Toulouse Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.70
Under 0.5	2.12

2nd Half — Toulouse Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	4.30
Under 1.5	1.21

2nd Half — Toulouse Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	11.00
Under 2.5	1.03

2nd Half — Lyon Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes

Over 0.5	1.91
Under 0.5	1.86

2nd Half — Lyon Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes

Over 1.5	5.40
Under 1.5	1.14

2nd Half — Lyon Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	14.00
Under 2.5	1.01

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes

0-0	4.30
0-1	5.00
0-2	14.00
0-3	46.00
1-0	4.30
1-1	6.20
1-2	18.00
1-3	56.00
2-0	9.60
2-1	15.00
2-2	45.00
2-3	111.00
3-0	26.00
3-1	36.00
3-2	96.00
3-3	251.00
Any other score	9.00

Toulouse – Lyon: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, 22 Aug 2026, 20:45 · 3 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF

Toulouse were favourites: the closing odds implied a 42% chance of a home win, 30% for Lyon and 28% for a draw.
Best closing odds: Toulouse 2.30 at Stake, the draw 3.50 at Stake, Lyon 3.31 at VBET.
Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
Odds movement: the best price on Lyon drifted from 2.20 at the opening to 3.31 at kick-off.
The closing odds implied a 55% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Toulouse or Lyon?

Toulouse, clearly: the closing odds put 12.7 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Toulouse – Lyon?

It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Toulouse, Stake on the draw and VBET on Lyon. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.3%) and bwin the least (94.2%).

Toulouse – Lyon: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKER	TOULOUSE	DRAW	LYON	PAYOUT
Stake	2.30 best price	3.50 best price	3.25	97.3%
VBET	2.21	3.39	3.31 best price	95.3%
bwin	2.25	3.40	3.10	94.2%
BEST PRICE	2.30	3.50	3.31	97.8%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH	2.21–2.30 · 4.1%	3.39–3.50 · 3.2%	3.10–3.31 · 6.8%	94.2–97.3%

Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.

Lyon had the widest spread: 3.10 to 3.31 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 6.8%.

How did the Toulouse – Lyon odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Lyon drifted from 2.20 when odds opened on 22 Jul to 3.31 at kick-off, a 50.5% rise.

BEST PRICE, DAILY

DATA

BEST PRICE AT	TOULOUSE	DRAW	LYON
Wed 22 Jul (open)	3.45	3.65	2.20
Fri 7 Aug	3.45	3.65	2.10
Sat 22 Aug (kick-off)	2.30	3.50	3.31

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 55.3%.

Both teams score55%

What the odds imply for each goal line in Toulouse – Lyon.

How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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