Ipswich β Sunderland odds
Sunderland went into the match as narrow favourites against Ipswich.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Ipswich β Sunderland: closing odds analysis
- Sunderland were favourites: the closing odds implied a 38% chance of an away win, 34% for Ipswich and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Ipswich 2.90 at Stake, the draw 3.40 at bwin, Sunderland 2.65 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- The closing odds implied a 50% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Ipswich or Sunderland?
Sunderland, but only just: the closing odds put 4.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Ipswich β Sunderland?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Ipswich, bwin on the draw and Stake on Sunderland. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.5%) and bwin the least (88.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | IPSWICH | DRAW | SUNDERLAND | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.90 best price | 3.30 | 2.65 best price | 97.5% |
| VBET | 2.80 | 3.12 | 2.54 | 93.3% |
| bwin | 2.60 | 3.40 best price | 2.20 | 88.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 98.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.60β2.90 Β· 11.5% | 3.12β3.40 Β· 9.0% | 2.20β2.65 Β· 20.5% | 88.2β97.5% |
How did the Ipswich β Sunderland odds move before kick-off?
The best prices barely moved between the opening on 22 Jul and kick-off: no outcome moved more than 1.9%.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | IPSWICH | DRAW | SUNDERLAND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 22 Jul (open) | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.70 |
| Fri 7 Aug | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.70 |
| Sat 22 Aug (kick-off) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.65 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 50.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 Γ· decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 Γ· (1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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