Inter – Monza odds
Inter went into the match as heavy favourites against Monza.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Inter – Monza: closing odds analysis
- Inter were favourites: the closing odds implied a 82% chance of a home win, 6% for Monza and 12% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Inter 1.17 at bwin, the draw 8.20 at Stake, Monza 18.00 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Monza drifted from 13.00 at the opening to 18.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 39% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Inter or Monza?
Inter, by a distance: the closing odds put 76.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Inter – Monza?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Inter, Stake on the draw and Stake on Monza. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.9%) and VBET the least (95.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | INTER | DRAW | MONZA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.17 best price | 8.20 best price | 18.00 best price | 96.9% |
| bwin | 1.17 best price | 8.00 | 15.50 | 95.8% |
| VBET | 1.16 | 7.90 | 17.00 | 95.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.17 | 8.20 | 18.00 | 96.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.16–1.17 · 0.9% | 7.90–8.20 · 3.8% | 15.50–18.00 · 16.1% | 95.5–96.9% |
How did the Inter – Monza odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Monza drifted from 13.00 when odds opened on 25 Jul to 18.00 at kick-off, a 38.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | INTER | DRAW | MONZA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 25 Jul (open) | 1.24 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Sun 9 Aug | 1.25 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Sat 22 Aug (kick-off) | 1.17 | 8.20 | 18.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 38.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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