Sion – Ajax odds
Ajax went into the match as clear favourites against Sion.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Sion – Ajax: closing odds analysis
- Ajax were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of an away win, 27% for Sion and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sion 3.60 at Stake, the draw 4.30 at VBET, Ajax 1.95 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sion shortened from 5.60 at the opening to 3.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sion or Ajax?
Ajax, clearly: the closing odds put 22.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sion – Ajax?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Sion, VBET on the draw and bwin on Ajax. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (91.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | SION | DRAW | AJAX | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 3.35 | 4.30 best price | 1.93 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 3.60 best price | 3.95 | 1.86 | 93.6% |
| bwin | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.95 best price | 91.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.60 | 4.30 | 1.95 | 97.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.35–3.60 · 7.5% | 3.40–4.30 · 26.5% | 1.86–1.95 · 4.8% | 91.5–95.3% |
How did the Sion – Ajax odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sion shortened from 5.60 when odds opened on 16 Aug to 3.60 at kick-off, a 35.7% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SION | DRAW | AJAX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 16 Aug (open) | 5.60 | 4.40 | 1.65 |
| Tue 18 Aug | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.82 |
| Thu 20 Aug (kick-off) | 3.60 | 4.30 | 1.95 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 60.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.