Shamrock Rovers – KuPS odds
Shamrock Rovers went into the match as clear favourites against KuPS.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Shamrock Rovers – KuPS: closing odds analysis
- Shamrock Rovers were favourites: the closing odds implied a 42% chance of a home win, 28% for KuPS and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Shamrock Rovers 2.25 at bwin, the draw 3.26 at VBET, KuPS 3.40 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Shamrock Rovers drifted from 2.05 at the opening to 2.25 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Shamrock Rovers or KuPS?
Shamrock Rovers, clearly: the closing odds put 14.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Shamrock Rovers – KuPS?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Shamrock Rovers, VBET on the draw and bwin on KuPS. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.7%) and bwin the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | SHAMROCK ROVERS | DRAW | KUPS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.19 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 93.7% |
| VBET | 2.08 | 3.26 best price | 3.21 | 91.0% |
| bwin | 2.25 best price | 2.75 | 3.40 best price | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.25 | 3.26 | 3.40 | 95.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.08–2.25 · 8.2% | 2.75–3.26 · 18.5% | 3.21–3.40 · 5.9% | 90.7–93.7% |
How did the Shamrock Rovers – KuPS odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Shamrock Rovers drifted from 2.05 when odds opened on 17 Aug to 2.25 at kick-off, a 9.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SHAMROCK ROVERS | DRAW | KUPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 17 Aug (open) | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Wed 19 Aug | 2.15 | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| Thu 20 Aug (kick-off) | 2.25 | 3.26 | 3.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 49.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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