Braga – Austria Wien odds
Braga went into the match as heavy favourites against Austria Wien.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Braga – Austria Wien: closing odds analysis
- Braga were favourites: the closing odds implied a 65% chance of a home win, 12% for Austria Wien and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Braga 1.52 at bwin, the draw 4.50 at Stake, Austria Wien 8.10 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 5.00 at the opening to 4.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 41% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Braga or Austria Wien?
Braga, by a distance: the closing odds put 52.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Braga – Austria Wien?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Braga, Stake on the draw and VBET on Austria Wien. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.8%) and VBET the least (91.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRAGA | DRAW | AUSTRIA WIEN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.39 | 4.50 best price | 8.00 | 93.8% |
| bwin | 1.52 best price | 3.50 | 6.75 | 91.6% |
| VBET | 1.35 | 4.30 | 8.10 best price | 91.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.52 | 4.50 | 8.10 | 99.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.35–1.52 · 12.6% | 3.50–4.50 · 28.6% | 6.75–8.10 · 20.0% | 91.2–93.8% |
How did the Braga – Austria Wien odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 5.00 when odds opened on 16 Aug to 4.50 at kick-off, a 10.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRAGA | DRAW | AUSTRIA WIEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 16 Aug (open) | 1.50 | 5.00 | 7.80 |
| Tue 18 Aug | 1.46 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Thu 20 Aug (kick-off) | 1.52 | 4.50 | 8.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 40.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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