Besiktas – Žalgiris Kaunas odds
Besiktas went into the match as heavy favourites against Žalgiris Kaunas.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Besiktas – Žalgiris Kaunas: closing odds analysis
- Besiktas were favourites: the closing odds implied a 86% chance of a home win, 4% for Žalgiris Kaunas and 10% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Besiktas 1.16 at bwin, the draw 11.00 at VBET, Žalgiris Kaunas 27.00 at Stake.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Žalgiris Kaunas drifted from 12.00 at the opening to 27.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 31% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Besiktas or Žalgiris Kaunas?
Besiktas, by a distance: the closing odds put 81.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Besiktas – Žalgiris Kaunas?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Besiktas, VBET on the draw and Stake on Žalgiris Kaunas. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (95.5%) and VBET the least (93.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | BESIKTAS | DRAW | ŽALGIRIS KAUNAS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.16 best price | 7.50 | 19.50 | 95.5% |
| Stake | 1.08 | 10.00 | 27.00 best price | 94.1% |
| VBET | 1.06 | 11.00 best price | 26.00 | 93.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.16 | 11.00 | 27.00 | 101.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.06–1.16 · 9.4% | 7.50–11.00 · 46.7% | 19.50–27.00 · 38.5% | 93.2–95.5% |
How did the Besiktas – Žalgiris Kaunas odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Žalgiris Kaunas drifted from 12.00 when odds opened on 15 Aug to 27.00 at kick-off, a 125.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BESIKTAS | DRAW | ŽALGIRIS KAUNAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 15 Aug (open) | 1.34 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| Tue 18 Aug | 1.21 | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| Thu 20 Aug (kick-off) | 1.16 | 11.00 | 27.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 30.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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