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LA LIGA · WED 19 AUG · 21:00

Atlético Madrid – Málaga odds

Atlético Madrid went into the match as heavy favourites against Málaga.

77 markets · closing odds across 3 bookmakers
FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.
WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED
Atlético Madrid 65%Draw 21%Málaga 14%
CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT
97.4%
vs 95.7% average
KICK-OFF

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes
Atlético Madrid1.49
Draw4.80
Málaga6.80

Double Chance

3 outcomes
Atlético Madrid / Draw1.13
Atlético Madrid / Málaga1.21
Draw / Málaga2.65

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.19
Under 0.54.20

Over/Under 1.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.33
Under 1.53.00

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.25
Under 2.53.60

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 3.51.63
Under 3.52.10

Over/Under 4.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 4.52.40
Under 4.51.50

Over/Under 5.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 5.51.44
Under 5.52.55

Over/Under 6.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 6.51.75
Under 6.51.93

Over/Under 7.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 7.52.25
Under 7.51.55

Over/Under 8.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 8.51.41
Under 8.52.65

Over/Under 9.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 9.51.70
Under 9.52.00

Over/Under 10.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 10.52.10
Under 10.51.63

Over/Under 11.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 11.52.75
Under 11.51.39

Over/Under 12.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 12.53.75
Under 12.51.23

Over/Under 13.5 Goals

2 outcomes
Over 13.54.80
Under 13.51.15

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes1.85
No1.93

Handicap -3

3 outcomes
Atlético Madrid (-3)7.25
Draw6.50
Málaga (+3)1.23

Handicap -2

3 outcomes
Atlético Madrid (-2)3.75
Draw4.20
Málaga (+2)1.62

Handicap -1

3 outcomes
Atlético Madrid (-1)2.15
Draw3.60
Málaga (+1)2.65

Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.04
Under 110.00

Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.12
Under 1.256.00

Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.20
Under 1.54.50

Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.751.24
Under 1.753.95

Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 21.29
Under 23.55

Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.251.46
Under 2.252.65

Asian Total 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.51.64
Under 2.52.23

Asian Total 2.75

2 outcomes
Over 2.751.79
Under 2.752.00

Asian Total 3

2 outcomes
Over 32.03
Under 31.76

Asian Total 3.25

2 outcomes
Over 3.252.29
Under 3.251.60

Asian Total 3.5

2 outcomes
Over 3.52.55
Under 3.51.49

Asian Total 3.75

2 outcomes
Over 3.753.00
Under 3.751.37

Asian Total 4

2 outcomes
Over 43.85
Under 41.25

Asian Total 4.25

2 outcomes
Over 4.254.20
Under 4.251.22

Asian Total 4.5

2 outcomes
Over 4.54.50
Under 4.51.19

Asian Total 4.75

2 outcomes
Over 4.755.60
Under 4.751.14

Atlético Madrid Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.10
Under 0.57.20

Atlético Madrid Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.52
Under 1.52.49

Atlético Madrid Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.52.55
Under 2.51.50

Atlético Madrid Over/Under 3.5

2 outcomes
Over 3.54.80
Under 3.51.17

Málaga Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.62
Under 0.52.26

Málaga Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.95
Under 1.51.24

Málaga Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.513.00
Under 2.51.04

Correct Score

57 outcomes
0-017.00
0-119.00
0-240.00
0-3126.00
0-4601.00
0-5401.00
1-08.00
1-19.20
1-221.00
1-360.00
1-4301.00
1-5401.00
2-07.40
2-18.00
2-217.00
2-361.00
2-4251.00
2-5401.00
3-010.00
3-112.00
3-225.00
3-380.00
3-4351.00
3-5401.00
4-019.00
4-121.00
4-246.00
4-3151.00
4-4601.00
4-5401.00
5-041.00
5-146.00
5-296.00
5-3301.00
5-4401.00
5-5401.00
Any other score11.00
6-056.00
7-081.00
8-0126.00
9-0201.00
10-0301.00
6-156.00
7-1101.00
8-1126.00
9-1226.00
6-291.00
7-2151.00
8-2226.00
6-3151.00
6-4301.00
10-1276.00
7-3301.00
3-6301.00
9-2301.00
1-6251.00
8-3301.00

1st Half

1st Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Atlético Madrid1.93
Draw2.60
Málaga7.10

1st Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Atlético Madrid / Draw1.14
Atlético Madrid / Málaga1.48
Draw / Málaga1.91

1st Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes4.75
No1.21

1st Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.29
Under 0.53.60

1st Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.38
Under 0.752.95

1st Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.56
Under 12.38

1st Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.96
Under 1.251.82

1st Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.34
Under 1.51.58

1st Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.90
Under 1.751.40

1st Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 24.20
Under 21.22

1st Half — Atlético Madrid Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.53
Under 0.52.46

1st Half — Atlético Madrid Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.53.50
Under 1.51.29

1st Half — Atlético Madrid Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.59.00
Under 2.51.05

1st Half — Málaga Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.80
Under 0.51.42

1st Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-03.60
0-18.20
0-241.00
0-3276.00
1-03.45
1-18.80
1-241.00
1-3276.00
2-06.20
2-117.00
2-281.00
2-3401.00
3-017.00
3-141.00
3-2201.00
3-3401.00
Any other score9.00

2nd Half

2nd Half — Match Result

3 outcomes
Atlético Madrid1.82
Draw3.00
Málaga5.60

2nd Half — Double Chance

3 outcomes
Atlético Madrid / Draw1.18
Atlético Madrid / Málaga1.42
Draw / Málaga2.01

2nd Half — Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes
Yes3.40
No1.30

2nd Half — Asian Total 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.23
Under 0.54.30

2nd Half — Asian Total 0.75

2 outcomes
Over 0.751.30
Under 0.753.45

2nd Half — Asian Total 1

2 outcomes
Over 11.33
Under 13.25

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.25

2 outcomes
Over 1.251.62
Under 1.252.26

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.51.90
Under 1.51.87

2nd Half — Asian Total 1.75

2 outcomes
Over 1.752.23
Under 1.751.64

2nd Half — Asian Total 2

2 outcomes
Over 22.90
Under 21.40

2nd Half — Asian Total 2.25

2 outcomes
Over 2.253.35
Under 2.251.31

2nd Half — Atlético Madrid Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.51.41
Under 0.52.85

2nd Half — Atlético Madrid Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.52.80
Under 1.51.42

2nd Half — Atlético Madrid Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.56.80
Under 2.51.10

2nd Half — Málaga Over/Under 0.5

2 outcomes
Over 0.52.39
Under 0.51.56

2nd Half — Málaga Over/Under 1.5

2 outcomes
Over 1.58.00
Under 1.51.07

2nd Half — Málaga Over/Under 2.5

2 outcomes
Over 2.516.00
Under 2.51.01

2nd Half — Correct Score

17 outcomes
0-04.80
0-17.80
0-229.00
0-3111.00
1-03.98
1-17.20
1-227.00
1-3101.00
2-05.80
2-112.00
2-250.00
2-3151.00
3-012.00
3-123.00
3-276.00
3-3301.00
Any other score6.00

Atlético Madrid – Málaga: closing odds analysis

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF
  • Atlético Madrid were favourites: the closing odds implied a 65% chance of a home win, 14% for Málaga and 21% for a draw.
  • Best closing odds: Atlético Madrid 1.49 at Stake, the draw 4.80 at Stake, Málaga 6.80 at Stake.
  • Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.4%.
  • Odds movement: the best price on Málaga shortened from 10.50 at the opening to 6.80 at kick-off.
  • The closing odds implied a 51% chance that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Atlético Madrid or Málaga?

Atlético Madrid, by a distance: the closing odds put 50.8 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Atlético Madrid – Málaga?

Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (97.4%) and bwin the least (94.7%).

Atlético Madrid – Málaga: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKERATLÉTICO MADRIDDRAWMÁLAGAPAYOUT
Stake1.49 best price4.80 best price6.80 best price97.4%
VBET1.464.606.7095.1%
bwin1.464.606.5094.7%
BEST PRICE1.494.806.8097.4%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH1.46–1.49 · 2.1%4.60–4.80 · 4.3%6.50–6.80 · 4.6%94.7–97.4%
Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.
Málaga had the widest spread: 6.50 to 6.80 across 3 bookmakers, a difference of 4.6%.

How did the Atlético Madrid – Málaga odds move before kick-off?

The best price on Málaga shortened from 10.50 when odds opened on 22 Jul to 6.80 at kick-off, a 35.2% drop.

BEST PRICE, DAILY
5.0010.0022 Jul6 Aug19 Aug6.804.801.49
DATA
BEST PRICE ATATLÉTICO MADRIDDRAWMÁLAGA
Wed 22 Jul (open)1.325.4010.50
Thu 6 Aug1.335.4010.50
Wed 19 Aug (kick-off)1.494.806.80

How many goals did the odds expect?

Both teams to score was priced at 51.1%.

  • Both teams score51%
What the odds imply for each goal line in Atlético Madrid – Málaga.
How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.

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