Levski Sofia – AEK Athens odds
AEK Athens went into the match as narrow favourites against Levski Sofia.
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Levski Sofia – AEK Athens: closing odds analysis
- AEK Athens were favourites: the closing odds implied a 38% chance of an away win, 32% for Levski Sofia and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Levski Sofia 3.00 at Expekt, the draw 3.15 at Bet25, AEK Athens 2.50 at Expekt.
- Bet25 had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- The closing odds implied a 44% chance of three or more goals.
Who were the favourites, Levski Sofia or AEK Athens?
AEK Athens, but only just: the closing odds put 5.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Levski Sofia – AEK Athens?
It depended on the outcome: Expekt was best on Levski Sofia, Bet25 on the draw and Expekt on AEK Athens. Across all three outcomes Bet25 paid out the most (95.2%) and Betmaster the least (89.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | LEVSKI SOFIA | DRAW | AEK ATHENS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet25 | 3.00 best price | 3.15 best price | 2.50 best price | 95.2% |
| Expekt | 3.00 best price | 3.10 | 2.50 best price | 94.7% |
| Oddset | 2.90 | 3.05 | 2.46 | 92.7% |
| ComeOn | 2.87 | 3.07 | 2.45 | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 2.87 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 91.7% |
| Mr Green | 2.87 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 91.7% |
| Betoro | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.42 | 91.6% |
| Casino House | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.42 | 91.6% |
| GetLucky | 2.85 | 3.04 | 2.42 | 91.5% |
| Casinostuen | 2.85 | 3.04 | 2.42 | 91.5% |
| Betinia | 2.85 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 90.8% |
| CampoBet | 2.85 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 90.8% |
| Casinomoto | 2.85 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 90.8% |
| Betmaster | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.41 | 89.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 2.43 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 3.00 | 3.15 | 2.50 | 95.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.80–3.00 · 7.1% | 2.43–3.15 · 29.6% | 2.40–2.50 · 4.2% | 89.5–95.2% |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
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