Celta Vigo – Osasuna odds
Celta Vigo went into the match as clear favourites against Osasuna.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Celta Vigo – Osasuna: closing odds analysis
- Celta Vigo were favourites: the closing odds implied a 46% chance of a home win, 26% for Osasuna and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Celta Vigo 2.06 at Stake, the draw 3.40 at Stake, Osasuna 3.85 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.2%.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Celta Vigo or Osasuna?
Celta Vigo, clearly: the closing odds put 20.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Celta Vigo – Osasuna?
Stake, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.2%) and VBET the least (91.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | OSASUNA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.06 best price | 3.40 best price | 3.85 best price | 96.2% |
| bwin | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.70 | 94.2% |
| VBET | 1.98 | 3.32 | 3.52 | 91.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.06 | 3.40 | 3.85 | 96.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.98–2.06 · 4.0% | 3.30–3.40 · 3.0% | 3.52–3.85 · 9.4% | 91.7–96.2% |
How did the Celta Vigo – Osasuna odds move before kick-off?
The best prices barely moved between the opening on 22 Jul and kick-off: no outcome moved more than 1.4%.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | OSASUNA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 22 Jul (open) | 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.85 |
| Tue 4 Aug | 2.06 | 3.40 | 3.85 |
| Sun 16 Aug (kick-off) | 2.06 | 3.40 | 3.85 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 49.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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