KI Klaksvík – Lech Poznań odds
Lech Poznań went into the match as heavy favourites against KI Klaksvík.
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1st Half
2nd Half
KI Klaksvík – Lech Poznań: closing odds analysis
- Lech Poznań were favourites: the closing odds implied a 59% chance of an away win, 17% for KI Klaksvík and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: KI Klaksvík 6.30 at VBET, the draw 4.30 at VBET, Lech Poznań 1.72 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on KI Klaksvík drifted from 4.80 at the opening to 6.30 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, KI Klaksvík or Lech Poznań?
Lech Poznań, by a distance: the closing odds put 42.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on KI Klaksvík – Lech Poznań?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on KI Klaksvík, VBET on the draw and bwin on Lech Poznań. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and Stake the least (92.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | KI KLAKSVÍK | DRAW | LECH POZNAŃ | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 6.30 best price | 4.30 best price | 1.52 | 95.3% |
| bwin | 5.25 | 3.60 | 1.72 best price | 95.3% |
| Stake | 5.20 | 4.10 | 1.55 | 92.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 6.30 | 4.30 | 1.72 | 102.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 5.20–6.30 · 21.2% | 3.60–4.30 · 19.4% | 1.52–1.72 · 13.2% | 92.5–95.3% |
How did the KI Klaksvík – Lech Poznań odds move before kick-off?
The best price on KI Klaksvík drifted from 4.80 when odds opened on 13 Aug to 6.30 at kick-off, a 31.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | KI KLAKSVÍK | DRAW | LECH POZNAŃ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 13 Aug (open) | 4.80 | 4.10 | 1.80 |
| Fri 14 Aug (kick-off) | 6.30 | 4.30 | 1.72 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 52.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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