Víkingur Reykjavík – Thun odds
Víkingur Reykjavík went into the match as narrow favourites against Thun.
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2nd Half
Víkingur Reykjavík – Thun: closing odds analysis
- Víkingur Reykjavík were favourites: the closing odds implied a 43% chance of a home win, 32% for Thun and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Víkingur Reykjavík 2.25 at bwin, the draw 3.75 at Stake, Thun 3.00 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Thun drifted from 2.45 at the opening to 3.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 67% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Víkingur Reykjavík or Thun?
Víkingur Reykjavík, but only just: the closing odds put 11.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Víkingur Reykjavík – Thun?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Víkingur Reykjavík, Stake on the draw and bwin on Thun. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.0%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | VÍKINGUR REYKJAVÍK | DRAW | THUN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.25 best price | 3.50 | 3.00 best price | 94.0% |
| Stake | 2.15 | 3.75 best price | 2.85 | 92.4% |
| VBET | 2.10 | 3.53 | 2.94 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.25 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 95.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.10–2.25 · 7.1% | 3.50–3.75 · 7.1% | 2.85–3.00 · 5.3% | 90.9–94.0% |
How did the Víkingur Reykjavík – Thun odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Thun drifted from 2.45 when odds opened on 8 Aug to 3.00 at kick-off, a 22.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VÍKINGUR REYKJAVÍK | DRAW | THUN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8 Aug (open) | 2.60 | 3.70 | 2.45 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 2.50 | 3.65 | 2.75 |
| Thu 13 Aug (kick-off) | 2.25 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 66.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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