Tromsø – CFR Cluj odds
Tromsø went into the match as heavy favourites against CFR Cluj.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Tromsø – CFR Cluj: closing odds analysis
- Tromsø were favourites: the closing odds implied a 56% chance of a home win, 19% for CFR Cluj and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Tromsø 1.75 at bwin, the draw 4.00 at Stake, CFR Cluj 5.00 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on CFR Cluj shortened from 5.60 at the opening to 5.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Tromsø or CFR Cluj?
Tromsø, by a distance: the closing odds put 37.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Tromsø – CFR Cluj?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Tromsø, Stake on the draw and VBET on CFR Cluj. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.7%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | TROMSØ | DRAW | CFR CLUJ | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.60 | 4.00 best price | 4.90 | 92.7% |
| bwin | 1.75 best price | 3.25 | 4.60 | 91.2% |
| VBET | 1.54 | 3.98 | 5.00 best price | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.75 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 97.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.54–1.75 · 13.6% | 3.25–4.00 · 23.1% | 4.60–5.00 · 8.7% | 90.9–92.7% |
How did the Tromsø – CFR Cluj odds move before kick-off?
The best price on CFR Cluj shortened from 5.60 when odds opened on 9 Aug to 5.00 at kick-off, a 10.7% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | TROMSØ | DRAW | CFR CLUJ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9 Aug (open) | 1.66 | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 1.58 | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| Thu 13 Aug (kick-off) | 1.75 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 53.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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