Shelbourne – Ajax odds
Ajax went into the match as heavy favourites against Shelbourne.
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2nd Half
Shelbourne – Ajax: closing odds analysis
- Ajax were favourites: the closing odds implied a 75% chance of an away win, 9% for Shelbourne and 16% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Shelbourne 14.00 at VBET, the draw 6.40 at VBET, Ajax 1.31 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Shelbourne drifted from 11.00 at the opening to 14.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Shelbourne or Ajax?
Ajax, by a distance: the closing odds put 65.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Shelbourne – Ajax?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Shelbourne, VBET on the draw and bwin on Ajax. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.5%) and bwin the least (92.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | SHELBOURNE | DRAW | AJAX | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 14.00 best price | 6.40 best price | 1.22 | 95.5% |
| Stake | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.23 | 92.6% |
| bwin | 8.25 | 5.00 | 1.31 best price | 92.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 14.00 | 6.40 | 1.31 | 100.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 8.25–14.00 · 69.7% | 5.00–6.40 · 28.0% | 1.22–1.31 · 7.4% | 92.2–95.5% |
How did the Shelbourne – Ajax odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Shelbourne drifted from 11.00 when odds opened on 9 Aug to 14.00 at kick-off, a 27.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SHELBOURNE | DRAW | AJAX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9 Aug (open) | 11.00 | 6.40 | 1.29 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 14.00 | 7.40 | 1.24 |
| Thu 13 Aug (kick-off) | 14.00 | 6.40 | 1.31 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 50.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.