Hajduk Split – Žalgiris Vilnius odds
Hajduk Split went into the match as heavy favourites against Žalgiris Vilnius.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Hajduk Split – Žalgiris Vilnius: closing odds analysis
- Hajduk Split were favourites: the closing odds implied a 68% chance of a home win, 12% for Žalgiris Vilnius and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hajduk Split 1.42 at bwin, the draw 4.85 at Stake, Žalgiris Vilnius 8.00 at Stake.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 91.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 5.60 at the opening to 5.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 50% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hajduk Split or Žalgiris Vilnius?
Hajduk Split, by a distance: the closing odds put 55.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hajduk Split – Žalgiris Vilnius?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Hajduk Split, Stake on the draw and Stake on Žalgiris Vilnius. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (91.2%) and Stake the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | HAJDUK SPLIT | DRAW | ŽALGIRIS VILNIUS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.42 best price | 4.10 | 6.75 | 91.2% |
| VBET | 1.31 | 4.80 | 7.80 | 90.9% |
| Stake | 1.30 | 4.85 best price | 8.00 best price | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.42 | 4.85 | 8.00 | 96.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.30–1.42 · 9.2% | 4.10–4.85 · 18.3% | 6.75–8.00 · 18.5% | 90.9–91.2% |
How did the Hajduk Split – Žalgiris Vilnius odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 5.60 when odds opened on 9 Aug to 5.20 at kick-off, a 7.1% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HAJDUK SPLIT | DRAW | ŽALGIRIS VILNIUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9 Aug (open) | 1.38 | 5.60 | 8.20 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 1.38 | 5.60 | 8.20 |
| Thu 13 Aug (kick-off) | 1.42 | 5.20 | 7.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 50.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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