Gent – IFK Göteborg odds
Gent went into the match as heavy favourites against IFK Göteborg.
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2nd Half
Gent – IFK Göteborg: closing odds analysis
- Gent were favourites: the closing odds implied a 57% chance of a home win, 17% for IFK Göteborg and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Gent 1.68 at bwin, the draw 4.00 at Stake, IFK Göteborg 5.70 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 4.30 at the opening to 4.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Gent or IFK Göteborg?
Gent, by a distance: the closing odds put 39.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Gent – IFK Göteborg?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Gent, Stake on the draw and VBET on IFK Göteborg. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.7%) and VBET the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | GENT | DRAW | IFK GÖTEBORG | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.57 | 4.00 best price | 5.20 | 92.7% |
| bwin | 1.68 best price | 3.30 | 5.00 | 91.1% |
| VBET | 1.58 | 3.41 | 5.70 best price | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.68 | 4.00 | 5.70 | 98.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.57–1.68 · 7.0% | 3.30–4.00 · 21.2% | 5.00–5.70 · 14.0% | 90.8–92.7% |
How did the Gent – IFK Göteborg odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 4.30 when odds opened on 9 Aug to 4.00 at kick-off, a 7.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | GENT | DRAW | IFK GÖTEBORG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9 Aug (open) | 1.60 | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 1.62 | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| Thu 13 Aug (kick-off) | 1.68 | 4.00 | 5.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 51.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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