Egnatia – Shamrock Rovers odds
Egnatia went into the match as narrow favourites against Shamrock Rovers.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Egnatia – Shamrock Rovers: closing odds analysis
- Egnatia were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of a home win, 29% for Shamrock Rovers and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Egnatia 2.37 at bwin, the draw 3.35 at Stake, Shamrock Rovers 3.30 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Egnatia drifted from 2.25 at the opening to 2.37 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Egnatia or Shamrock Rovers?
Egnatia, but only just: the closing odds put 12.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Egnatia – Shamrock Rovers?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Egnatia, Stake on the draw and bwin on Shamrock Rovers. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.5%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | EGNATIA | DRAW | SHAMROCK ROVERS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.37 best price | 3.00 | 3.30 best price | 94.5% |
| Stake | 2.20 | 3.35 best price | 3.05 | 92.5% |
| VBET | 2.18 | 3.08 | 3.17 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.37 | 3.35 | 3.30 | 97.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.18–2.37 · 8.7% | 3.00–3.35 · 11.7% | 3.05–3.30 · 8.2% | 91.0–94.5% |
How did the Egnatia – Shamrock Rovers odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Egnatia drifted from 2.25 when odds opened on 9 Aug to 2.37 at kick-off, a 5.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | EGNATIA | DRAW | SHAMROCK ROVERS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9 Aug (open) | 2.25 | 3.47 | 3.30 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 2.25 | 3.47 | 3.30 |
| Thu 13 Aug (kick-off) | 2.37 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 57.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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