Dinamo Minsk – Braga odds
Braga went into the match as heavy favourites against Dinamo Minsk.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Dinamo Minsk – Braga: closing odds analysis
- Braga were favourites: the closing odds implied a 65% chance of an away win, 12% for Dinamo Minsk and 22% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Dinamo Minsk 8.20 at Stake, the draw 4.40 at Stake, Braga 1.46 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Dinamo Minsk drifted from 6.80 at the opening to 8.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 39% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Dinamo Minsk or Braga?
Braga, by a distance: the closing odds put 53.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Dinamo Minsk – Braga?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Dinamo Minsk, Stake on the draw and bwin on Braga. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.7%) and VBET the least (91.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | DINAMO MINSK | DRAW | BRAGA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 8.20 best price | 4.40 best price | 1.37 | 92.7% |
| bwin | 7.75 | 3.60 | 1.46 best price | 91.6% |
| VBET | 6.90 | 4.40 best price | 1.38 | 91.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 8.20 | 4.40 | 1.46 | 96.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 6.90–8.20 · 18.8% | 3.60–4.40 · 22.2% | 1.37–1.46 · 6.6% | 91.2–92.7% |
How did the Dinamo Minsk – Braga odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Dinamo Minsk drifted from 6.80 when odds opened on 9 Aug to 8.20 at kick-off, a 20.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | DINAMO MINSK | DRAW | BRAGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9 Aug (open) | 6.80 | 4.50 | 1.53 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 7.60 | 4.80 | 1.46 |
| Thu 13 Aug (kick-off) | 8.20 | 4.40 | 1.46 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 39.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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