DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda – Twente odds
Twente went into the match as heavy favourites against DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda.
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2nd Half
DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda – Twente: closing odds analysis
- Twente were favourites: the closing odds implied a 54% chance of an away win, 21% for DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda 4.70 at VBET, the draw 4.20 at VBET, Twente 1.78 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda shortened from 5.60 at the opening to 4.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda or Twente?
Twente, by a distance: the closing odds put 33.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda – Twente?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda, VBET on the draw and bwin on Twente. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | DAC 1904 DUNAJSKA STREDA | DRAW | TWENTE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 4.70 best price | 4.20 best price | 1.67 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.69 | 93.0% |
| bwin | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.78 best price | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.70 | 4.20 | 1.78 | 98.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.20–4.70 · 11.9% | 3.30–4.20 · 27.3% | 1.67–1.78 · 6.6% | 90.7–95.3% |
How did the DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda – Twente odds move before kick-off?
The best price on DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda shortened from 5.60 when odds opened on 9 Aug to 4.70 at kick-off, a 16.1% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | DAC 1904 DUNAJSKA STREDA | DRAW | TWENTE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9 Aug (open) | 5.60 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 5.60 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Thu 13 Aug (kick-off) | 4.70 | 4.20 | 1.78 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 57.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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