Besiktas – Hradec Králové odds
Besiktas went into the match as heavy favourites against Hradec Králové.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Besiktas – Hradec Králové: closing odds analysis
- Besiktas were favourites: the closing odds implied a 71% chance of a home win, 11% for Hradec Králové and 18% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Besiktas 1.41 at bwin, the draw 5.50 at VBET, Hradec Králové 8.90 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 4.70 at the opening to 5.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 45% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Besiktas or Hradec Králové?
Besiktas, by a distance: the closing odds put 60.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Besiktas – Hradec Králové?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Besiktas, VBET on the draw and VBET on Hradec Králové. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.7%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | BESIKTAS | DRAW | HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.41 best price | 4.50 | 8.00 | 94.7% |
| Stake | 1.28 | 5.40 | 8.80 | 92.6% |
| VBET | 1.24 | 5.50 best price | 8.90 best price | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.41 | 5.50 | 8.90 | 99.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.24–1.41 · 13.7% | 4.50–5.50 · 22.2% | 8.00–8.90 · 11.3% | 90.9–94.7% |
How did the Besiktas – Hradec Králové odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 4.70 when odds opened on 8 Aug to 5.50 at kick-off, a 17.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BESIKTAS | DRAW | HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8 Aug (open) | 1.46 | 4.70 | 8.00 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 1.46 | 5.20 | 8.10 |
| Thu 13 Aug (kick-off) | 1.41 | 5.50 | 8.90 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 45.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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