GKS Katowice – Hapoel Tel Aviv odds
GKS Katowice went into the match as clear favourites against Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
GKS Katowice – Hapoel Tel Aviv: closing odds analysis
- GKS Katowice were favourites: the closing odds implied a 43% chance of a home win, 28% for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: GKS Katowice 2.30 at bwin, the draw 3.55 at VBET, Hapoel Tel Aviv 3.50 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.20 at the opening to 3.55 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, GKS Katowice or Hapoel Tel Aviv?
GKS Katowice, clearly: the closing odds put 15.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on GKS Katowice – Hapoel Tel Aviv?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on GKS Katowice, VBET on the draw and VBET on Hapoel Tel Aviv. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.4%) and bwin the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | GKS KATOWICE | DRAW | HAPOEL TEL AVIV | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.08 | 3.55 best price | 3.50 best price | 95.4% |
| Stake | 2.13 | 3.35 | 3.25 | 93.0% |
| bwin | 2.30 best price | 2.80 | 3.25 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.30 | 3.55 | 3.50 | 99.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.08–2.30 · 10.6% | 2.80–3.55 · 26.8% | 3.25–3.50 · 7.7% | 90.9–95.4% |
How did the GKS Katowice – Hapoel Tel Aviv odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 3.20 when odds opened on 9 Aug to 3.55 at kick-off, a 10.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | GKS KATOWICE | DRAW | HAPOEL TEL AVIV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9 Aug (open) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.41 |
| Tue 11 Aug | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
| Wed 12 Aug (kick-off) | 2.30 | 3.55 | 3.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 54.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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