Kairat Almaty – Levski Sofia odds
Levski Sofia went into the match as clear favourites against Kairat Almaty.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Kairat Almaty – Levski Sofia: closing odds analysis
- Levski Sofia were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of an away win, 26% for Kairat Almaty and 33% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Kairat Almaty 3.70 at bwin, the draw 3.00 at Stake, Levski Sofia 2.50 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Kairat Almaty drifted from 2.65 at the opening to 3.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 42% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Kairat Almaty or Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia, clearly: the closing odds put 13.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Kairat Almaty – Levski Sofia?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Kairat Almaty, Stake on the draw and bwin on Levski Sofia. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (94.3%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | KAIRAT ALMATY | DRAW | LEVSKI SOFIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 3.40 | 3.00 best price | 2.31 | 94.3% |
| bwin | 3.70 best price | 2.55 | 2.50 best price | 94.1% |
| VBET | 3.50 | 2.89 | 2.14 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.70 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 99.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.40–3.70 · 8.8% | 2.55–3.00 · 17.6% | 2.14–2.50 · 16.8% | 91.0–94.3% |
How did the Kairat Almaty – Levski Sofia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Kairat Almaty drifted from 2.65 when odds opened on 6 Aug to 3.70 at kick-off, a 39.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | KAIRAT ALMATY | DRAW | LEVSKI SOFIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 6 Aug (open) | 2.65 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Sat 8 Aug | 2.60 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Tue 11 Aug (kick-off) | 3.70 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 42.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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