Iberia 1999 – Larne odds
Iberia 1999 went into the match as heavy favourites against Larne.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Iberia 1999 – Larne: closing odds analysis
- Iberia 1999 were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of a home win, 19% for Larne and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Iberia 1999 1.98 at bwin, the draw 3.25 at Stake, Larne 5.20 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Larne drifted from 4.10 at the opening to 5.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 45% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Iberia 1999 or Larne?
Iberia 1999, by a distance: the closing odds put 31.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Iberia 1999 – Larne?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Iberia 1999, Stake on the draw and VBET on Larne. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.1%) and Stake the least (92.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | IBERIA 1999 | DRAW | LARNE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.82 | 3.23 | 5.20 best price | 95.1% |
| bwin | 1.98 best price | 2.95 | 4.60 | 94.2% |
| Stake | 1.77 | 3.25 best price | 4.90 | 92.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.98 | 3.25 | 5.20 | 99.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.77–1.98 · 11.9% | 2.95–3.25 · 10.2% | 4.60–5.20 · 13.0% | 92.9–95.1% |
How did the Iberia 1999 – Larne odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Larne drifted from 4.10 when odds opened on 8 Aug to 5.20 at kick-off, a 26.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | IBERIA 1999 | DRAW | LARNE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8 Aug (open) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 4.10 |
| Mon 10 Aug | 1.83 | 3.56 | 5.00 |
| Tue 11 Aug (kick-off) | 1.98 | 3.25 | 5.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 44.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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