CSKA 1948 Sofia – Panathinaikos odds
Panathinaikos went into the match as heavy favourites against CSKA 1948 Sofia.
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2nd Half
CSKA 1948 Sofia – Panathinaikos: closing odds analysis
- Panathinaikos were favourites: the closing odds implied a 52% chance of an away win, 20% for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: CSKA 1948 Sofia 5.20 at VBET, the draw 3.50 at VBET, Panathinaikos 1.88 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on CSKA 1948 Sofia drifted from 4.40 at the opening to 5.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 50% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, CSKA 1948 Sofia or Panathinaikos?
Panathinaikos, by a distance: the closing odds put 32.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on CSKA 1948 Sofia – Panathinaikos?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on CSKA 1948 Sofia, VBET on the draw and bwin on Panathinaikos. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | CSKA 1948 SOFIA | DRAW | PANATHINAIKOS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 5.20 best price | 3.50 best price | 1.75 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 4.70 | 3.45 | 1.75 | 93.1% |
| bwin | 4.40 | 2.95 | 1.88 best price | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 5.20 | 3.50 | 1.88 | 99.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.40–5.20 · 18.2% | 2.95–3.50 · 18.6% | 1.75–1.88 · 7.4% | 91.1–95.3% |
How did the CSKA 1948 Sofia – Panathinaikos odds move before kick-off?
The best price on CSKA 1948 Sofia drifted from 4.40 when odds opened on 9 Aug to 5.20 at kick-off, a 18.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CSKA 1948 SOFIA | DRAW | PANATHINAIKOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9 Aug (open) | 4.40 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
| Mon 10 Aug | 4.40 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| Tue 11 Aug (kick-off) | 5.20 | 3.50 | 1.88 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 49.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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