Randers FC – Lyngby BK odds
Randers FC went into the match as narrow favourites against Lyngby BK.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Randers FC – Lyngby BK: closing odds analysis
- Randers FC were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 33% for Lyngby BK and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Randers FC 2.40 at bwin, the draw 3.55 at Stake, Lyngby BK 2.95 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lyngby BK shortened from 3.75 at the opening to 2.95 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Randers FC or Lyngby BK?
Randers FC, but only just: the closing odds put 7.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Randers FC – Lyngby BK?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Randers FC, Stake on the draw and Stake on Lyngby BK. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (94.6%) and VBET the least (93.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | RANDERS FC | DRAW | LYNGBY BK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.29 | 3.55 best price | 2.95 best price | 94.6% |
| bwin | 2.40 best price | 3.50 | 2.80 | 94.4% |
| VBET | 2.33 | 3.53 | 2.80 | 93.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.40 | 3.55 | 2.95 | 96.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.29–2.40 · 4.8% | 3.50–3.55 · 1.4% | 2.80–2.95 · 5.4% | 93.5–94.6% |
How did the Randers FC – Lyngby BK odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lyngby BK shortened from 3.75 when odds opened on 3 Aug to 2.95 at kick-off, a 21.3% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | RANDERS FC | DRAW | LYNGBY BK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 3 Aug (open) | 2.01 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Thu 6 Aug | 2.12 | 3.52 | 3.30 |
| Sun 9 Aug (kick-off) | 2.40 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 60.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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