Žalgiris Vilnius – Hajduk Split odds
Hajduk Split went into the match as clear favourites against Žalgiris Vilnius.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Žalgiris Vilnius – Hajduk Split: closing odds analysis
- Hajduk Split were favourites: the closing odds implied a 46% chance of an away win, 26% for Žalgiris Vilnius and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Žalgiris Vilnius 3.70 at bwin, the draw 3.45 at VBET, Hajduk Split 2.05 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Žalgiris Vilnius drifted from 3.60 at the opening to 3.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Žalgiris Vilnius or Hajduk Split?
Hajduk Split, clearly: the closing odds put 19.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Žalgiris Vilnius – Hajduk Split?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Žalgiris Vilnius, VBET on the draw and bwin on Hajduk Split. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (92.6%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | ŽALGIRIS VILNIUS | DRAW | HAJDUK SPLIT | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 3.50 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 92.6% |
| bwin | 3.70 best price | 2.95 | 2.05 best price | 91.2% |
| VBET | 3.40 | 3.45 best price | 1.94 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.70 | 3.45 | 2.05 | 95.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.40–3.70 · 8.8% | 2.95–3.45 · 16.9% | 1.94–2.05 · 5.7% | 91.0–92.6% |
How did the Žalgiris Vilnius – Hajduk Split odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Žalgiris Vilnius drifted from 3.60 when odds opened on 3 Aug to 3.70 at kick-off, a 2.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ŽALGIRIS VILNIUS | DRAW | HAJDUK SPLIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 3 Aug (open) | 3.60 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Wed 5 Aug | 3.65 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Thu 6 Aug (kick-off) | 3.70 | 3.45 | 2.05 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 55.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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